trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 100% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤30d | 4 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 100% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤90d | 9 | +0.2% | -9.4% | 100% | 0% | -9.4% |
| all | 24 | +0.2% | -9.3% | 100% | 0% | -9.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.3% | 0% | -9.5% |
| 10% | -18.0% | 0% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -25.9% | 0% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -33.2% | 0% | -33.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in June? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $42 | $42 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on June 21? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $41 | $41 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C or below on June 4? | Jun 20 | $51 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on June 16? | Jun 14 | $41 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on May 22? | Jun 01 | $31 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 24°C on April 21? | May 22 | $46 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in March? | Apr 01 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? | Apr 01 | $27 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $60-$65 in March? | Apr 01 | $42 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap o | Apr 01 | $48 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 5°C on March 26? | Mar 26 | $39 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 55°F or below on March 17? | Mar 17 | $42 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026? | Mar 09 | $11 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 49°F or below on March 7? | Mar 07 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of March 2 above $200? | Mar 07 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on March 1? | Mar 02 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on February 28? | Mar 02 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will The Weeknd have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners | Mar 02 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will there be at least 1,300 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, | Mar 02 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will XRP reach $4.00 in January? | Feb 01 | $4 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January? | Feb 01 | $5,199 | $0 | +0% |
| Will SkyView be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 23? | Jan 24 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025? | Jan 20 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be #1 Free App in the US Apple App | Jan 20 | $4 | $0 | +0% |
| Will DramaBox - Stream Drama Shorts be #1 Free App in the US Apple App | Jan 20 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will XRP reach $6.00 before 2026? | Jan 20 | $105 | $0 | +0% |