trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -13.6% | -21.9% | 33% | 0% | -21.5% |
| ≤30d | 8 | +6.2% | -3.9% | 75% | 25% | -10.0% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -4.6% | -13.6% | 64% | 18% | -18.9% |
| all | 11 | -4.6% | -13.6% | 64% | 18% | -18.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.6% | 18% | -18.9% |
| 10% | -21.9% | 18% | -26.6% |
| 15% | -29.5% | 9% | -33.7% |
| 20% | -36.4% | 9% | -40.2% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | Jun 17 | $50 | −$22 | -43% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Jun 17 | $40 | $0 | -1% |
| Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? | Jun 11 | $60 | +$2 | +4% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? | Jun 02 | $50 | +$2 | +3% |
| U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? | Jun 02 | $50 | +$1 | +3% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 31 | $4 | +$2 | +59% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | May 31 | $50 | +$1 | +3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | May 31 | $50 | +$12 | +23% |
| Netanyahu out by May 31? | May 15 | $50 | +$1 | +1% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | May 03 | $45 | $0 | -1% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | May 03 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |