trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 12 | +11.2% | +0.6% | 67% | 50% | -5.8% |
| ≤30d | 20 | -0.1% | -9.7% | 50% | 40% | -14.6% |
| ≤90d | 33 | -0.8% | -10.2% | 55% | 42% | -3.7% |
| all | 33 | -0.8% | -10.2% | 55% | 42% | -3.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.2% | 42% | -3.7% |
| 10% | -18.8% | 39% | -12.9% |
| 15% | -26.6% | 36% | -21.4% |
| 20% | -33.8% | 27% | -29.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 46¢ | 46¢ | $351 | $352 | +$1 (+0%) |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 13¢ | 10¢ | $350 | $279 | −$71 (-20%) |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? | Yes | 62¢ | 60¢ | $200 | $192 | −$8 (-4%) |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 69¢ | 68¢ | $60 | $60 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 4.5 | Over | 10¢ | 10¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Belgium (-1.5) | Jun 21 | $93 | +$2 | +2% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $30 | +$21 | +70% |
| Spread: Ecuador (-1.5) | Jun 20 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $30 | +$20 | +67% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $10 | +$6 | +62% |
| United States vs. Australia: O/U 1.5 AND Will United States win on 202 | Jun 19 | $20 | +$18 | +87% |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 18 | $102 | −$11 | -11% |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 17 | $692 | +$11 | +2% |
| Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 | Jun 17 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $20 | +$10 | +50% |
| Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5 | Jun 15 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 | Jun 14 | $10 | +$11 | +105% |
| Spread: Germany (-1.5) | Jun 14 | $100 | +$19 | +18% |
| Will Safepoint not IPO before August 2026? | Jun 14 | $64 | −$14 | -22% |
| Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 | Jun 13 | $25 | −$25 | -98% |
| Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027? | Jun 13 | $21 | −$6 | -31% |
| United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 | Jun 13 | $15 | +$22 | +146% |
| Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 | Jun 12 | $15 | −$15 | -98% |
| Will Taylor Swift release "Taylor Swift (Taylor's Version)" in 2026? | Jun 10 | $10 | −$1 | -8% |
| Will Jeff Bezos buy the Seattle Seahawks? | Jun 06 | $277 | −$111 | -40% |
| Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Verso Time vs Magic (BO3) - MLBB Continental | May 16 | $10 | −$5 | -49% |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $3.40 (HIGH) by May 31, 2026? | May 15 | $52 | −$20 | -40% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10? | May 11 | $301 | +$168 | +56% |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09? | May 09 | $80 | +$31 | +40% |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04? | May 03 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April | May 03 | $101 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-23? | Apr 23 | $73 | −$72 | -98% |
| Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on April 21? | Apr 23 | $101 | $0 | +0% |
| Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-21? | Apr 23 | $135 | +$121 | +90% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Apr 21 | $244 | +$109 | +45% |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21? | Apr 09 | $100 | −$24 | -24% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08? | Apr 09 | $50 | +$43 | +86% |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-22? | Apr 05 | $100 | +$25 | +25% |