trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 12 | -5.2% | -14.2% | 42% | 0% | -10.5% |
| ≤90d | 12 | -5.2% | -14.2% | 42% | 0% | -10.5% |
| all | 22 | -7.1% | -15.9% | 50% | 5% | -12.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -15.9% | 5% | -12.1% |
| 10% | -24.0% | 0% | -20.5% |
| 15% | -31.3% | 0% | -28.2% |
| 20% | -38.1% | 0% | -35.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | No | 83¢ | 84¢ | $33 | $33 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 17 | $16 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 26 | $32 | +$1 | +3% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | May 26 | $33 | $0 | -1% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | May 26 | $20 | −$3 | -18% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | May 25 | $79 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? | May 25 | $2 | −$1 | -51% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 25 | $9 | $0 | -3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | May 24 | $39 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arab | May 24 | $1 | $0 | +7% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | May 23 | $35 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | May 22 | $39 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | May 21 | $35 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025? | Dec 19 | $1 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 Canadian GP pole? | Jun 17 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Elon tweet 300–324 times May 23–30? | May 31 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 29 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Raymond Burke be the next pope? | May 09 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025? | Mar 24 | $3 | $0 | -2% |
| UNLV vs. San José State | Feb 25 | $4 | −$1 | -14% |
| Blackhawks vs. Utah | Feb 24 | $4 | $0 | +0% |
| San José State vs. Utah State | Feb 24 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | Feb 23 | $4 | $0 | +12% |