trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | Yes | 25¢ | 24¢ | $60 | $56 | −$4 (-6%) |
| Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Yes | 30¢ | 30¢ | $55 | $54 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Yes | 16¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? | Yes | 5¢ | 0¢ | $15 | $0 | −$15 (-100%) |
| Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Yes | 20¢ | 0¢ | $19 | $0 | −$19 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $31 | +$76 | +249% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $31 | +$45 | +145% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $21 | +$6 | +30% |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $16 | −$15 | -95% |
| Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 11 | $20 | −$19 | -94% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | +44.8% | +31.0% | 60% | 60% | +63.5% |
| ≤30d | 5 | +44.8% | +31.0% | 60% | 60% | +63.5% |
| ≤90d | 5 | +44.8% | +31.0% | 60% | 60% | +63.5% |
| all | 5 | +44.8% | +31.0% | 60% | 60% | +63.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +31.0% | 60% | +63.5% |
| 10% | +18.5% | 60% | +47.9% |
| 15% | +7.0% | 40% | +33.6% |
| 20% | -3.4% | 40% | +20.5% |