trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | +107.2% | +87.5% | 86% | 86% | +59.7% |
| ≤30d | 10 | +95.3% | +76.7% | 90% | 90% | +56.9% |
| ≤90d | 19 | +64.6% | +48.9% | 68% | 68% | +41.4% |
| all | 29 | +53.9% | +39.3% | 62% | 59% | +33.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +39.3% | 59% | +33.1% |
| 10% | +25.9% | 55% | +20.4% |
| 15% | +13.8% | 52% | +8.7% |
| 20% | +2.6% | 41% | -1.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 14¢ | 19¢ | $10 | $14 | +$3 (+34%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 10¢ | 7¢ | $10 | $7 | −$2 (-24%) |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 6¢ | $5 | $6 | +$0 (+8%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 15¢ | 14¢ | $6 | $5 | −$1 (-9%) |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $5 | $4 | −$1 (-17%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? AND Will Mexico win on 2026-06-1 | Jun 19 | $10 | +$23 | +223% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? AND Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? AND | Jun 19 | $5 | +$15 | +287% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? AND Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $5 | +$7 | +129% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $10 | +$4 | +44% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $10 | +$12 | +119% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $10 | +$5 | +50% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $10 | +$4 | +42% |
| Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30? | May 29 | $4 | +$4 | +78% |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 27 | $10 | +$8 | +83% |
| Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship? | May 17 | $5 | +$1 | +26% |
| Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31? | May 17 | $3 | +$2 | +67% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | May 05 | $9 | −$5 | -63% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 14 | $18 | −$1 | -4% |
| Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Apr 13 | $14 | +$26 | +194% |
| Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Apr 07 | $39 | +$29 | +75% |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | Apr 07 | $21 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Mar 25 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | Mar 23 | $5 | −$1 | -19% |
| Seahawks vs. Patriots | Mar 19 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| World Cup game relocated away from Mexico? | Mar 18 | $13 | −$6 | -50% |
| Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | Mar 18 | $5 | −$1 | -20% |
| Will the Bills win the AFC Championship? | Feb 08 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Jan 26 | $5 | +$1 | +22% |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | Jan 26 | $5 | +$10 | +191% |
| Will the Seahawks win the 2026 NFC Championship? | Jan 26 | $10 | +$15 | +157% |
| Will the Patriots win the AFC Championship? | Jan 26 | $6 | +$14 | +239% |
| Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? | Jan 14 | $6 | $0 | +4% |
| Will the Broncos win the AFC Championship? | Jan 13 | $9 | −$1 | -7% |