trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -11.8% | -20.2% | 33% | 33% | -14.9% |
| ≤30d | 8 | -1.7% | -11.1% | 62% | 38% | -10.7% |
| ≤90d | 19 | -3.5% | -12.6% | 74% | 21% | -10.6% |
| all | 19 | -3.5% | -12.6% | 74% | 21% | -10.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.6% | 21% | -10.6% |
| 10% | -21.0% | 11% | -19.1% |
| 15% | -28.6% | 11% | -26.9% |
| 20% | -35.6% | 0% | -34.1% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | Jun 18 | $236 | −$90 | -38% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Jun 16 | $292 | +$128 | +44% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 14 | $196 | −$81 | -41% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | Jun 03 | $71 | +$26 | +36% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | May 31 | $50 | +$8 | +15% |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? | May 27 | $7 | −$3 | -39% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? | May 27 | $15 | $0 | +3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | May 27 | $10 | +$1 | +6% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 18 | $4 | $0 | +4% |
| Starmer out by May 31, 2026? | May 18 | $10 | $0 | +4% |
| Will another Canadian MP cross the floor by May 15, 2026? | May 16 | $4 | $0 | +7% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | May 15 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | May 12 | $4 | $0 | +9% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 12 | $3 | $0 | +15% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026? | May 12 | $39 | +$2 | +4% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | May 11 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Donald Trump dance on May 8, 2026? | May 09 | $3 | $0 | +5% |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 02 | $1 | $0 | -1% |
| Trump out as President by April 30? | May 01 | $4 | $0 | +0% |