Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:40:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AF
0xaf4b…6e5b
crypto · 472 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$180 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$180 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$180
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses226 / 246
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)472 / 472
History coverage20d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day69.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 472 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8
7 days−$8
14 days−$46
30 days−$180
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 4PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 12PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 7PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 6PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 2PM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +38%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -61%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -73%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
HYPE Up or Down - June 11, 5AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +29%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -24%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +60%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 5PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +11%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 7PM ET Jun 01 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 6PM ET Jun 01 $1 −$1 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 5PM ET Jun 01 $1 $0 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 4PM ET Jun 01 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 3PM ET Jun 01 $1 $0 +24%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 2PM ET Jun 01 $3 +$1 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 1PM ET Jun 01 $2 +$1 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 12PM ET Jun 01 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 8AM ET Jun 01 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 7AM ET Jun 01 $4 −$2 -43%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 4AM ET Jun 01 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 1AM ET Jun 01 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 2AM ET Jun 01 $4 −$2 -42%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 6AM ET May 31 $6 +$1 +12%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 3AM ET May 31 $6 +$1 +14%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 5AM ET May 31 $6 +$1 +18%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 7PM ET May 31 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET May 31 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 1AM ET May 31 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET May 31 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 11PM ET May 31 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 5PM ET May 31 $21 −$9 -45%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 12AM ET May 31 $2 $0 +23%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 11PM ET May 31 $6 +$2 +25%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 10PM ET May 31 $2 $0 +14%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 9PM ET May 31 $4 +$1 +25%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 8PM ET May 31 $6 +$2 +24%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 6PM ET May 30 $6 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 4PM ET May 30 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 3PM ET May 30 $20 +$4 +20%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 2PM ET May 30 $31 +$4 +12%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET May 30 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$177
other 0% −$2
politics 0% $0
sports 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 38¢ $3 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $2 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET SELL Up 57¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET SELL Down 62¢ $3 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET SELL Down 18¢ $1 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET SELL Down 7¢ $1 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $2 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $2 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 13h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $2 23h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $2 23h
HYPE Up or Down - June 11, 5AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 29h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 38h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET SELL Down 48¢ $1 38h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 38h
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 39h
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6PM ET SELL Down 26¢ $1 40h
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 40h
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 5PM ET SELL Down 100¢ $1 40h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-20.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 18 -19.9% -27.5% 56% 39% -27.6%
≤30d 472 -12.2% -20.6% 48% 38% -19.3%
≤90d 472 -12.2% -20.6% 48% 38% -19.3%
all 472 -12.2% -20.6% 48% 38% -19.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover69.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.6% 38% -19.3%
10% ← realistic here -28.2% 27% -27.0%
15% -35.1% 18% -34.1%
20% -41.5% 13% -40.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1765 history records