trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -8.9% | -17.6% | 50% | 50% | +18.1% |
| ≤30d | 7 | -8.0% | -16.8% | 43% | 43% | +1.0% |
| ≤90d | 20 | +29.6% | +17.2% | 65% | 65% | +10.0% |
| all | 21 | +23.4% | +11.7% | 62% | 62% | +8.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +11.7% | 62% | +8.0% |
| 10% | +1.0% | 52% | -2.3% |
| 15% | -8.8% | 48% | -11.8% |
| 20% | -17.7% | 38% | -20.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win on 2026-06-26? | Yes | 60¢ | 60¢ | $58 | $59 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? | Yes | 58¢ | 57¢ | $48 | $48 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26? | Yes | 40¢ | 40¢ | $48 | $48 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 25 | $29 | −$29 | -98% |
| Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw? | Jun 23 | $8 | −$8 | -97% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $28 | +$13 | +46% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $49 | +$58 | +119% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $29 | $0 | +0% |
| BC Dubai vs. Partizan | Jun 06 | $98 | −$96 | -98% |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Jun 01 | $129 | +$102 | +79% |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10? | May 11 | $49 | +$32 | +65% |
| Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 28.5 | Apr 25 | $48 | −$48 | -99% |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-18? | Apr 19 | $29 | +$70 | +238% |
| Real Madrid vs. KK Crvena Zvezda | Apr 16 | $49 | −$48 | -98% |
| ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. KK Crvena Zvezda | Apr 11 | $227 | +$34 | +15% |
| KK Crvena Zvezda vs. Paris Basketball | Apr 08 | $136 | +$46 | +34% |
| Spread: Suns (-11.5) | Apr 05 | $29 | −$29 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Nuggets: O/U 242.5 | Apr 05 | $34 | +$30 | +90% |
| Spurs vs. Nuggets | Apr 05 | $49 | +$56 | +114% |
| ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Olympiacos B.C. | Apr 04 | $56 | +$9 | +16% |
| Virtus Bologna vs. Valencia | Apr 03 | $8 | +$3 | +40% |
| KK Crvena Zvezda vs. Partizan | Apr 03 | $10 | +$26 | +262% |
| Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 28.5 | Mar 30 | $18 | +$13 | +75% |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? | Mar 24 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |