Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T00:26:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AF
0xaf92…9937
crypto · 762 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$3,220 -25%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,220 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$3,220
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses499 / 511
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1010 / 762
History coverage7d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day483.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1010 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4,826
7 days−$3,545
14 days−$3,220
30 days−$3,220
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $61 $0 −$61 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $58 $0 −$58 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $73 $0 −$73 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $55 −$54 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $58 −$58 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$2 +634%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $47 −$47 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $130 −$130 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $33 −$33 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -67%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$2 +2002%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$1,868
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET SELL Up 92¢ $4 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET SELL Up 92¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET SELL Up 88¢ $4 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $7 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET SELL Down 88¢ $4 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $6 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET SELL Up 88¢ $3 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET SELL Up 88¢ $2 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $6 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET SELL Up 88¢ $4 37m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET SELL Up 92¢ $5 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET SELL Up 89¢ $4 37m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET SELL Up 88¢ $4 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET SELL Up 87¢ $4 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET SELL Up 89¢ $4 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET SELL Up 87¢ $4 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET SELL Up 85¢ $4 38m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $6 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $21 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $7 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $7 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $9 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET SELL Up 94¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET SELL Up 94¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET SELL Up 94¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET SELL Up 90¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET SELL Up 88¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET SELL Up 88¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET SELL Up 94¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET SELL Up 90¢ $4 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-25.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 993 -18.7% -26.5% 49% 49% -32.6%
≤30d 1010 -18.1% -25.9% 49% 49% -28.3%
≤90d 1010 -18.1% -25.9% 49% 49% -28.3%
all 1010 -18.1% -25.9% 49% 49% -28.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover483.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -25.9% 49% -28.3%
10% ← realistic here -33.0% 48% -35.1%
15% -39.5% 31% -41.4%
20% -45.4% 14% -47.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records