Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:07:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AF
0xafc2…d32e
crypto · 713 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$117 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$452 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$452
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses419 / 294
Whale WR (big bets)75%
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)713 / 713
History coverage507d
Avg bet$54
Trades / day2.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 0 History 713 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$40
7 days−$487
14 days−$1,002
30 days−$998
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday? Yes 35¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Eric Cole win the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge? Yes 40¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 14 $125 +$22 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $104 −$2 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 14 $21 −$10 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $41 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 14 $21 −$4 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 14 $23 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 14 $130 −$4 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 14 $25 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$8 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$7 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $106 −$6 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $53 −$50 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$5 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$12 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $31 −$2 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $104 −$10 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $37 +$25 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $61 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$12 -96%
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $104 +$6 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $21 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$4 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $42 +$10 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $44 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $42 +$6 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $124 −$3 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $116 −$4 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$5 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$12 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$5 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $23 +$6 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $176 +$29 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$3 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$5 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 62% −$28
other 12% −$781
culture 7% +$143
world 7% −$112
tech 5% +$243
politics 5% +$205
sports 1% −$122
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $10 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $10 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $51 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $52 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $52 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $52 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $27 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $10 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $10 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $10 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $10 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $10 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $10 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $10 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $10 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-20.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 92 -19.0% -26.7% 49% 38% -23.0%
≤30d 345 -18.1% -25.9% 43% 38% -16.9%
≤90d 656 -14.1% -22.2% 59% 31% -15.7%
all 713 -11.9% -20.3% 59% 33% -10.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -20.3% 33% -10.6%
10% -27.9% 21% -19.1%
15% -34.9% 17% -27.0%
20% -41.3% 14% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1762 history records