Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:56:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AF
0xafc5…df26
crypto · 10 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$16 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$16 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$0
Realized−$16
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses5 / 5
Open positions0
Markets (closed)10 / 10
History coverage1d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day40.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 10 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$16
7 days−$16
14 days−$16
30 days−$16
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Down $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$2 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $37 −$37 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $11 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $27 +$14 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$8 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$4 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +18%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$16
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET SELL Up 34¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET SELL Up 64¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $4 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET SELL Down $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET SELL Down 23¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET SELL Down 22¢ $2 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $5 55m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down $5 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET SELL Up 68¢ $4 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET SELL Up 78¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET SELL Up 64¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $37 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET SELL Down 92¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET SELL Down 75¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET SELL Down 70¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET SELL Down 56¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET SELL Down 39¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET SELL Down 44¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET SELL Down 79¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET SELL Down 60¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET SELL Down 73¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET SELL Down 75¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET SELL Down 76¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET SELL Down 73¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-21.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 10 -12.7% -21.0% 50% 50% -19.0%
≤30d 10 -12.7% -21.0% 50% 50% -19.0%
≤90d 10 -12.7% -21.0% 50% 50% -19.0%
all 10 -12.7% -21.0% 50% 50% -19.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover40.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.0% 50% -19.0%
10% ← realistic here -28.6% 30% -26.8%
15% -35.5% 30% -33.9%
20% -41.8% 10% -40.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 42 history records