Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:07:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AF
0xafca…a775
other · 604 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$782 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$782 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$104
Realized−$782
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses415 / 527
Open positions0
Markets (closed)942 / 604
History coverage4d
Avg bet$24
Trades / day671.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit0%
Chart Positions 0 History 942 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,157
7 days−$782
14 days−$782
30 days−$782
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 89¢ 100¢ $40 $45 +$5 (+12%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 39¢ 100¢ $3 $7 +$4 (+156%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 53¢ 100¢ $3 $6 +$3 (+89%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 39¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+156%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 49¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+104%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Down 39¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+156%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Up 70¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+43%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 49¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+104%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Up 41¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+144%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 30, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 51¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+96%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Up 49¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+104%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 16, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Down 69¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+45%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 58¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+72%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 29, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Down 79¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+27%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 18, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 50¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 36¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+178%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 27, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Down 39¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+156%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 21, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Up 52¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+92%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 31, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Down 76¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+32%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 60¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+67%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 29, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Up 61¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+64%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 8, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Down 75¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+33%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Down 69¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+45%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Down 69¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+45%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $40 +$5 +12%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +156%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +156%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +43%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +104%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +144%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 30, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +96%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +104%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 16, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +45%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +72%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 29, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +27%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 18, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +178%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 27, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +156%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 21, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +92%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 31, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +32%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +67%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 29, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +64%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +45%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +45%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +96%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 19, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +104%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 15, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +144%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 15, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +156%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 16, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +156%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 25, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +144%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 25, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +45%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 21, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +41%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +426%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 15, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +41%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 27, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +89%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 15, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +223%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 30, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +144%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 1, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +64%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 1, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 24, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +104%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +64%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 27, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +70%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +144%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 11, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +27%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +96%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +64%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 8, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +104%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +104%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 30, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +41%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 1, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +28%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 100% +$2,893
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $3 12m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $13 12m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $4 12m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $2 12m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 12m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $4 12m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $5 12m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $6 12m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 12m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 12m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 12m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $8 12m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $5 12m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $4 12m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $5 12m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $4 12m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 12m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 12m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 12m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 12m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $10 12m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $4 12m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $20 12m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $11 12m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 12m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $2 12m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $8 27m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 27m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 27m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $10 31m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-19.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 942 -11.5% -19.9% 44% 42% -13.7%
≤30d 942 -11.5% -19.9% 44% 42% -13.7%
≤90d 942 -11.5% -19.9% 44% 42% -13.7%
all 942 -11.5% -19.9% 44% 42% -13.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover671.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.9% 42% -13.7%
10% ← realistic here -27.6% 40% -22.0%
15% -34.6% 33% -29.5%
20% -41.0% 28% -36.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $104.36 · official $61.26 · 3500 history records