Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:54:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AF
0xafd2…1ab8
crypto · 287 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$331 -15%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$331 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$331
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses118 / 169
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)287 / 287
History coverage124d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day4.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 287 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$76
7 days−$76
14 days−$200
30 days−$166
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$4 +425%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$12 -90%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$8 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +110%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +105%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 02 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 02 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 02 $31 −$31 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 02 $35 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 02 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 02 $10 +$4 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 02 $14 −$14 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 02 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 02 $2 −$1 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 02 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 02 $10 +$9 +93%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 02 $12 −$12 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 02 $14 −$14 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 02 $5 +$5 +88%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 02 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 02 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 01 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 01 $11 +$15 +146%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 01 $11 −$11 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 01 $11 −$11 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 01 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 01 $11 +$15 +140%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 01 $10 +$11 +110%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 01 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 01 $21 −$21 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET May 31 $9 −$9 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET May 31 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET May 31 $123 +$38 +31%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET May 31 $12 −$12 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET May 31 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET May 31 $12 −$12 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET May 31 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET May 31 $6 +$6 +99%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET May 31 $6 +$11 +184%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET May 31 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET May 31 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET May 31 $11 +$18 +170%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET May 31 $10 +$10 +98%
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET May 31 $3 +$2 +90%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$286
sports 2% −$44
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $12 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $11 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $10 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $10 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 18h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $51 10d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $10 10d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $11 10d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $25 10d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $10 10d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $10 10d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $10 10d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $10 10d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $10 10d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $11 10d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $14 10d
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $13 10d
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 10d
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $11 10d
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 10d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-20.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 10 +12.9% +2.1% 40% 40% -69.0%
≤30d 114 -6.1% -15.0% 44% 43% -23.5%
≤90d 287 -11.7% -20.1% 41% 39% -23.2%
all 287 -11.7% -20.1% 41% 39% -23.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -20.1% 39% -23.2%
10% -27.7% 37% -30.5%
15% -34.7% 33% -37.3%
20% -41.1% 28% -43.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 773 history records