trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $57,000 on June 8? | Jun 09 | $27 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 15? | Jun 09 | $9,972 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on February 1 | Jun 08 | $27 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 14? | Feb 12 | $27 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 11? | Feb 12 | $27 | $0 | +1% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | +0.1% | -9.5% | 67% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 3 | +0.1% | -9.5% | 67% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤90d | 3 | +0.1% | -9.5% | 67% | 0% | -9.5% |
| all | 5 | +0.2% | -9.3% | 80% | 0% | -9.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -9.3% | 0% | -9.5% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -18.0% | 0% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -25.9% | 0% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -33.2% | 0% | -33.3% |