Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:10:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

AF
0xafdc…601a
crypto · 118 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$72 +8%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$88 · open −$16
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$78
Realized+$88
Unrealized−$16
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses46 / 64
Open positions8
Markets (closed)110 / 118
History coverage1d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day677.0
Drawdown44%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 8 History 110 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$88
7 days+$88
14 days+$88
30 days+$88
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 14¢ 100¢ $9 $63 +$54 (+605%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 0¢ 36¢ $0 $3 +$3 (+0%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 72¢ 46¢ $4 $3 −$2 (-36%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 0¢ 36¢ $0 $3 +$3 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Down 0¢ 9¢ $0 $2 +$2 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET Down 32¢ 52¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+61%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET Up 48¢ 4¢ $12 $1 −$11 (-91%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Up 95¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+5%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Down 0¢ 24¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+0%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$8 +476%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +95%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$6 -51%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$10 +125%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$4 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$4 -25%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$2 -27%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$9 -60%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$5 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $9 $0 -0%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +57%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$3 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$6 -33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$3 -11%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +50%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +11%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$9 +92%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$8 -64%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $30 +$9 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$20 -86%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$54 +583%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$11 +43%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$4 -32%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$5 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$5 -50%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$72
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 1m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 1m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 1m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 1m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 1m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 2m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET SELL Down 100¢ $9 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $70 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET SELL Up 85¢ $1 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET SELL Down 100¢ $15 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 8m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $2 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $2 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $2 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $2 18m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)+8.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 110 +20.2% +8.8% 42% 36% +0.5%
≤30d 110 +20.2% +8.8% 42% 36% +0.5%
≤90d 110 +20.2% +8.8% 42% 36% +0.5%
all 110 +20.2% +8.8% 42% 36% +0.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover677.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +8.8% 36% +0.5%
10% ← realistic here -1.6% 28% -9.1%
15% -11.1% 24% -17.9%
20% -19.8% 21% -26.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $78.41 · official $81.74 · 776 history records