trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | -3.3% | -12.6% | 0% | 0% | -10.0% |
| ≤30d | 14 | -1.8% | -11.1% | 14% | 0% | -9.9% |
| ≤90d | 15 | -8.3% | -17.0% | 13% | 0% | -10.5% |
| all | 26 | -7.7% | -16.5% | 38% | 0% | -10.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -16.5% | 0% | -10.3% |
| 10% | -24.5% | 0% | -18.9% |
| 15% | -31.8% | 0% | -26.7% |
| 20% | -38.5% | 0% | -33.9% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 16 | $83 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? | Jun 15 | $30 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 14 | $68 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 14 | $62 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by | Jun 13 | $34 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 12 | $3 | −$1 | -19% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 10 | $27 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Jun 10 | $16 | −$1 | -5% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | Jun 09 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | Jun 09 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 08 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Jun 07 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 05 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | Jun 04 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026? | Mar 31 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Jack Draper win Wimbledon 2025? | Dec 14 | $1 | $0 | +6% |
| Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026? | Jun 29 | $7 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ethereum reach $4000 in May? | Jun 02 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Karol Nawrocki win by over 8%? | May 26 | $7 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win 35-40% of the vote in the South Korea election? | May 23 | $7 | $0 | +1% |
| No Trump announcement of next Fed Chair by June 30? | May 22 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 20 | $2 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election? | May 20 | $8 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian presidential election? | May 20 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 16 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Arsenal wins the Premier League? | Apr 28 | $2 | $0 | +4% |