Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T16:22:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
AF 0xaffc…a372 crypto 351 markets active 2d ago coverage 2d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 1d only
✗ bot/MM pace (2024 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$2,037 (+14%) realized +$2,037 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -8% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -29% what you keep after slip
Net edge-29%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate57%199W / 152L
Drawdown31%max
Avg bet$42per market
Trades / day2024.3pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$46
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (2024 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-16.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 351 -8.1% -16.8% 57% 1% -9.2%
≤30d 351 -8.1% -16.8% 57% 1% -9.2%
≤90d 351 -8.1% -16.8% 57% 1% -9.2%
all 351 -8.1% -16.8% 57% 1% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover2024.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.8% 1% -9.2%
10% ← realistic here -24.8% 0% -17.9%
15% -32.1% 0% -25.9%
20% -38.7% 0% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 19% · top 2 30% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
99% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -8% · $-wt +0% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -6% → late -10% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
9.0 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$1 · ×1.08 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×1.42 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$2,037
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses199 / 152
Open positions0
Markets (closed)351 / 351
History coverage2d ⚠
Avg bet$42
Trades / day2024.3
Drawdown31%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 351 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 16 $54 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 16 $29 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 16 $39 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 16 $64 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 16 $39 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 16 $73 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 16 $36 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 16 $58 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 16 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 16 $107 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 16 $64 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 16 $64 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 16 $64 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 16 $54 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 16 $64 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 16 $64 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 16 $35 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 16 $64 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 16 $54 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 16 $64 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 16 $64 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 16 $64 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 16 $102 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 16 $23 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 16 $54 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 16 $63 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 16 $64 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 16 $27 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 16 $54 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 16 $64 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 16 $64 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 16 $48 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 16 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 16 $52 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 16 $18 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 16 $45 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 16 $54 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 16 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 16 $42 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 16 $54 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 16 $42 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 16 $54 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 16 $36 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 16 $14 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 16 $54 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 16 $54 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 16 $48 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 16 $29 $0 -1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $12 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $13 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $24 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $0 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $7 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $16 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $0 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $0 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $0 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $12 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $16 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $0 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $0 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $9 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $0 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $18 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $6 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $9 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $16 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records