Wallet analysis

2026-06-25T03:44:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.5

score

B0 0xb00b…111d crypto 21 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d

BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample

✗ bot/MM pace (82 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real! limited sample (<25 closed)

Total PnL −$16 (-3%) realized −$5 · open −$11

Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗

Gross ROI / mkt +21% what the leader earns

→−copy tax

Net edge / mkt -7% what you keep after slip

Net edge-7%after slip

Net WR60%break-even

Win rate60%12W / 8L

Drawdown36%max

Avg bet$27per market

Trades / day82.0pace

Kalshi-fit100%portable

Net worth$17now

Equity curve

realized PnL

Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net

uncopyable — bot pace (82 trades/day)

break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even

chance a trade nets +60%

net ROI/market (all)+9.6%

timeframe	markets	gross ROI	NET ROI	gross WR	NET WR	net PnL (wtd)
≤7d	20	+21.1%	+9.6%	60%	60%	+9.8%
≤30d	20	+21.1%	+9.6%	60%	60%	+9.8%
≤90d	20	+21.1%	+9.6%	60%	60%	+9.8%
all	20	+21.1%	+9.6%	60%	60%	+9.8%

gross = as the leader traded. net = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip

turnover82.0 tr/day

realistic slip~13%

edge survives to5%

copier slippage	NET ROI	NET WR	net PnL (wtd)
5% ideal	+9.6%	60%	+9.8%
10% ← realistic here	-0.9%	60%	-0.7%
15%	-10.5%	55%	-10.3%
20%	-19.3%	55%	-19.1%

Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a trap: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill

Profit concentration

top 16% · top 2 29% broad-based profit

Edge freshness (90d)

90d ROI +21% fresh edge ✓

Fragile wins

0% wins margin < slip solid win margins

Flat-copyable

equal-wt +21% · $-wt +21% works when copied flat

Big bets

big-bet WR —% no data

Persistence

early +6% → late +36% edge persists early→late

Add-ons / DCA

3.3 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer

Win / loss size

+$27 vs −$27 · ×1.01 wins ≈ losses

Profit factor

×1.52 per $1 lost it wins $1.52

Copy size

≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage

Net worth$17

Realized−$5

Unrealized−$11

Win rate (resolved)60%

Wins / losses12 / 8

Open positions1

Markets (closed)20 / 21

History coverage1d

Avg bet$27

Trades / day82.0

Drawdown36%

Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades

Positions 1 History 20 Trades

Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket

Market	outcome	entry	now	invested	value	unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	45¢	28¢	$28	$17	−$11 (-39%)

Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 8 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.

Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first

Market	when	invested	PnL	ROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Jun 25	$39	−$38	-96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Jun 25	$29	+$25	+86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Jun 25	$48	−$47	-97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Jun 25	$10	+$3	+34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Jun 25	$30	+$18	+61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Jun 25	$42	+$51	+120%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Jun 25	$32	+$42	+134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Jun 25	$21	+$34	+161%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Jun 25	$31	+$21	+67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Jun 25	$32	−$30	-96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Jun 25	$31	−$30	-96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Jun 25	$31	+$30	+97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Jun 25	$31	−$29	-96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Jun 25	$8	+$6	+78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Jun 25	$30	+$28	+94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Jun 25	$8	−$8	-95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Jun 25	$16	−$15	-96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Jun 25	$29	+$42	+146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Jun 25	$16	+$24	+146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Jun 25	$16	−$16	-95%

Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.

Latest trades by this wallet

Market	side	price	size	when
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	BUY Down	51¢	$9	3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	BUY Down	41¢	$10	4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	BUY Down	44¢	$10	4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	BUY Down	41¢	$10	13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	BUY Down	47¢	$10	13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	BUY Down	47¢	$2	13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	BUY Down	49¢	$7	13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	BUY Down	51¢	$2	13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	BUY Down	51¢	$1	13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	BUY Down	51¢	$3	13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	BUY Down	51¢	$3	13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	SELL Down	99¢	$54	14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	BUY Down	47¢	$9	18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	BUY Down	51¢	$10	18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	BUY Down	57¢	$1	18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	BUY Down	57¢	$7	18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	BUY Down	57¢	$1	18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	BUY Down	47¢	$9	27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	BUY Down	48¢	$9	28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	BUY Down	48¢	$10	28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	BUY Down	52¢	$1	28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	BUY Down	52¢	$3	28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	BUY Down	51¢	$3	28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	BUY Down	50¢	$2	28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	BUY Down	51¢	$10	28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	SELL Up	64¢	$13	36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	BUY Up	45¢	$10	36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	SELL Up	92¢	$47	40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	BUY Up	59¢	$3	41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	BUY Up	58¢	$7	41m

From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.

≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $17.41 · official $27.54 · 82 history records