Wallet analysis

2026-06-22T20:06:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
B0 0xb011…38c1 crypto 38 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
UNRELIABLEdata unreliable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$0 (+0%) realized +$0 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -7% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR29%break-even
Win rate32%12W / 26L
Drawdown68%max
Avg bet$17per market
Trades / day44.0pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% +$74
sports 1% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-15.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 38 -6.6% -15.5% 32% 29% +0.5%
≤30d 38 -6.6% -15.5% 32% 29% +0.5%
≤90d 38 -6.6% -15.5% 32% 29% +0.5%
all 38 -6.6% -15.5% 32% 29% +0.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover44.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.5% 29% +0.5%
10% ← realistic here -23.6% 26% -9.1%
15% -31.0% 26% -17.9%
20% -37.7% 26% -25.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 23% · top 2 43% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +11% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
8% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -7% · $-wt +11% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -24% → late +11% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$31 vs −$13 · ×2.44 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×1.22 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$0
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)32%
Wins / losses12 / 26
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)38 / 38
History coverage1d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day44.0
Drawdown68%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 38 Trades
no open positions (21 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 22 $101 +$16 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 22 $16 −$15 -94%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 22 $26 −$25 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 22 $26 −$25 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 22 $5 +$7 +128%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -95%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 22 $26 +$2 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 22 $26 −$26 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 22 $5 +$20 +373%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 22 $26 −$25 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 22 $5 +$8 +172%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 22 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 22 $26 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 22 $26 +$87 +331%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 22 $16 +$28 +181%
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw? Jun 22 $6 −$6 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 22 $26 −$25 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 22 $26 +$41 +155%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 22 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 22 $5 +$9 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 22 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 22 $26 +$40 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 22 $26 +$74 +280%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 22 $27 −$25 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 22 $26 +$45 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 22 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 22 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 22 $11 −$11 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $101 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $5 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $11 25m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $26 30m
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $26 35m
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $5 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET SELL Up 18¢ $12 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $5 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $5 46m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET SELL Down 33¢ $28 49m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $26 49m
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $5 51m
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $5 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $5 53m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET SELL Up 57¢ $25 54m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $5 55m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $26 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $26 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 8¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $16 1h
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw? BUY Yes 16¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET SELL Down 58¢ $67 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $5 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 58 history records