trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | +14.9% | +4.0% | 14% | 14% | -8.5% |
| ≤30d | 7 | +14.9% | +4.0% | 14% | 14% | -8.5% |
| ≤90d | 8 | +24.1% | +12.3% | 25% | 25% | -8.3% |
| all | 34 | -15.1% | -23.2% | 26% | 21% | -13.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -23.2% | 21% | -13.7% |
| 10% | -30.5% | 21% | -22.0% |
| 15% | -37.2% | 21% | -29.5% |
| 20% | -43.4% | 21% | -36.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $1,154 | $1,153 | −$1 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 19 | $1,017 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 19 | $534 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $61 | +$64 | +105% |
| Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 18 | $981 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 18 | $490 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Jun 18 | $1,078 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 17 | $1,084 | −$2 | -0% |
| Canadiens vs. Blue Jackets | Apr 06 | $14 | +$12 | +89% |
| Knicks vs. Heat | Nov 17 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Clippers vs. Mavericks | Nov 17 | $15 | +$10 | +67% |
| Clemson vs. Louisville | Nov 17 | $14 | +$16 | +117% |
| Bulls vs. Pistons | Nov 13 | $13 | +$8 | +59% |
| Raptors vs. Hawks | Nov 10 | $9 | +$11 | +117% |
| Spread: BAL (-4.5) | Sep 22 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Guardians vs. Tigers | Sep 16 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Buccaneers vs. Texans | Sep 16 | $4 | +$6 | +127% |
| Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 3-6%? | Jul 15 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Romuald Starosielec be the next President of Poland? | Jul 15 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Lee Nak-yon be elected the next president of South Korea? | Jul 15 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Solana reach $220 in June? | Jul 15 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Mohamed Salah be the top goalscorer in the EPL? | May 19 | $11 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1000 in May? | May 19 | $6 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ethereum reach $3000 in May? | May 15 | $4 | $0 | +9% |
| Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025? | May 08 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Global heat increase less than 1.22°C for 2024? | May 06 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Ethereum reach $8000 in May? | May 06 | $6 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | May 05 | $6 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Charles Leclerc be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Apr 30 | $5 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea? | Apr 25 | $4 | $0 | -1% |
| Canucks vs. Canadiens | Jan 08 | $123 | −$123 | -100% |
| Senators vs. Blues | Jan 05 | $107 | −$107 | -100% |
| Notre Dame vs. Georgia | Jan 03 | $101 | −$101 | -100% |
| Will Liverpool lead the EPL in points at midway point? | Jan 03 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Who will speak more at VP Debate? | Oct 03 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |