Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:18:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B0
0xb01f…574e
other · 469 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$5,537 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5,532 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$121
Realized−$5,532
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)28%
Wins / losses127 / 327
Whale WR (big bets)40%
Est. fees paid−$11
Open positions15
Markets (closed)454 / 469
History coverage167d
Avg bet$167
Trades / day12.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit54%
Chart Positions 15 History 454 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$35
7 days+$35
14 days+$35
30 days−$17
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Yes 6¢ 6¢ $19 $19 −$0 (-2%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $13 $14 +$1 (+11%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $14 $13 −$1 (-5%)
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+7%)
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? Yes 20¢ 20¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? Yes 12¢ 12¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-4%)
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? Yes 4¢ 3¢ $9 $8 −$1 (-9%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 20¢ 20¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-2%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 17¢ 16¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-3%)
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? Yes 6¢ 6¢ $7 $8 +$1 (+8%)
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $6 $5 −$1 (-15%)
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Yes 14¢ 14¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-4%)
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-50%)
Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-50%)
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-50%)
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? Yes 62¢ 0¢ $129 $0 −$129 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 16? Up 5¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $27 +$45 +165%
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $27 +$1 +2%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 10 $9 −$9 -97%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18? Jun 10 $11 −$2 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET May 16 $36 −$35 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 16? May 16 $18 −$17 -94%
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals? May 03 $21 −$19 -92%
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? May 03 $65 −$25 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Apr 25 $2 −$2 -100%
US x Iran meeting by April 11, 2026? Apr 25 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 7AM ET Apr 25 $63 −$63 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? Apr 25 $22 −$22 -100%
US x Iran meeting by April 12, 2026? Apr 25 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? Apr 25 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 25 $6 −$6 -100%
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 25 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 25 $3 −$3 -100%
Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026? Apr 25 $44 −$17 -38%
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 25 $40 −$40 -100%
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026? Apr 24 $1 $0 -33%
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026? Apr 24 $1 $0 -33%
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026? Apr 24 $1 $0 -40%
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026? Apr 24 $3 $0 -17%
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 24 $3 +$2 +77%
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 24 $5 +$2 +35%
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026? Apr 21 $5 −$1 -18%
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026? Apr 21 $5 $0 -9%
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 21 $7 −$4 -57%
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 21 $25 −$19 -78%
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 21 $16 −$3 -19%
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026? Apr 21 $35 −$2 -7%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? Apr 14 $132 −$129 -98%
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 14 $5 $0 -5%
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 14 $36 +$1 +2%
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 14 $17 −$1 -6%
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? Apr 14 $1,086 −$422 -39%
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026? Apr 14 $7 $0 -5%
Will France win Eurovision 2026? Apr 14 $15 +$3 +17%
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? Apr 14 $40 −$2 -5%
Will Trump visit China by April 30? Apr 12 $16 −$4 -25%
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 12 $9 $0 -1%
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 12 $9 $0 +0%
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 12 $16 +$2 +10%
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026? Apr 11 $30 −$1 -3%
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026? Apr 11 $592 +$55 +9%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? Apr 10 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? Apr 10 $60 +$40 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Apr 10 $1 −$1 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Apr 09 $10 +$2 +18%
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30? Apr 07 $21 −$7 -32%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 56% −$2,072
world 37% −$2,540
crypto 5% −$497
sports 1% −$379
politics 0% −$33
culture 0% −$11
tech 0% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 6¢ $13 45m
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 12¢ $10 1h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $8 1h
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 20¢ $10 1h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY Yes 14¢ $5 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 20¢ $8 1h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 37¢ $27 18h
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 11¢ $27 18h
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 11¢ $9 42h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18? SELL Yes 8¢ $9 42h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18? BUY Yes 9¢ $11 42h
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 6¢ $7 42h
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 4¢ $9 42h
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 2¢ $10 42h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 6¢ $7 42h
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 4¢ $13 3d
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 10¢ $27 3d
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 5¢ $14 3d
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $6 3d
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $2 3d
Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $2 3d
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $7 27d
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 16? BUY Up 5¢ $18 27d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $29 27d
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 1¢ $14 40d
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL Yes 3¢ $14 40d
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL Yes 2¢ $15 42d
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 3¢ $4 49d
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $1 49d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)-38.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 +12.9% +2.2% 50% 25% +33.1%
≤30d 6 -24.7% -31.9% 33% 17% -21.5%
≤90d 61 -43.8% -49.2% 16% 10% -30.9%
all 454 -32.0% -38.5% 28% 21% -15.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -38.5% 21% -15.9%
10% -44.4% 16% -24.0%
15% -49.7% 12% -31.3%
20% -54.7% 10% -38.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $121.19 · official $121.74 (match) · 2329 history records