Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T22:22:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
B0 0xb02c…0657 crypto 437 markets active 0h ago coverage 27d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Total PnL −$135 (-8%) realized −$180 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -11% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -31% what you keep after slip
Net edge-31%after slip
Net WR31%break-even
Win rate42%185W / 252L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$4per market
Trades / day29.2pace
Fees−$1est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$32
7 days−$31
14 days−$31
30 days−$180
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 94% −$152
sports 4% −$6
other 2% −$21
politics 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-19.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 249 -5.6% -14.6% 47% 36% -12.6%
≤30d 437 -10.7% -19.2% 42% 31% -19.2%
≤90d 437 -10.7% -19.2% 42% 31% -19.2%
all 437 -10.7% -19.2% 42% 31% -19.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover29.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.2% 31% -19.2%
10% ← realistic here -27.0% 24% -26.9%
15% -34.0% 20% -34.0%
20% -40.5% 15% -40.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -11% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
24% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -11% · $-wt -11% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -15% → late -6% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$2 · ×0.87 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.64 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

27d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$180
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses185 / 252
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)437 / 437
History coverage27d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day29.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 437 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $12 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 14 $12 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 14 $15 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 14 $13 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$2 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$4 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$1 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$2 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $16 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$2 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +27%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $12 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET SELL Down 10¢ $0 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $10 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $12 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET SELL Down 14¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET SELL Down 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET SELL Up 71¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET SELL Up 78¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $4 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 69¢ $12 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $10 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1171 history records