Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T15:32:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3.0
score
B0 0xb032…3579 crypto 116 markets active 1h ago coverage 76d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$17 (+0%) realized +$17 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -13% what you keep after slip
Net edge-13%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate100%114W / 0L
Drawdown0%max
Avg bet$98per market
Trades / day3.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$117now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$1
14 days+$3
30 days+$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$15
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 10 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
≤30d 46 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
≤90d 114 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
all 114 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover3.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.4% 0% -9.4%
10% -18.1% 0% -18.1%
15% -26.0% 0% -26.0%
20% -33.2% 0% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 9% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late +0% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs — no data
Profit factor
— no data
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

76d coverage
Net worth$117
Realized+$17
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses114 / 0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)114 / 116
History coverage76d
Avg bet$98
Trades / day3.7
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 2 History 114 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,300 on June 22? No 100¢ 100¢ $78 $78 +$0 (+0%)
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on June 22? No 100¢ 100¢ $39 $39 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,100 on June 21? Jun 18 $116 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 20? Jun 18 $116 $0 +0%
Will Solana reach $90 on June 17? Jun 17 $112 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,100 on June 18? Jun 17 $116 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on June 16? Jun 17 $92 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on June 17? Jun 15 $116 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on June 17? Jun 15 $116 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $52,000 on June 16? Jun 14 $116 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 June 8-14? Jun 13 $116 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,200 on June 14? Jun 13 $115 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 14? Jun 12 $115 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 13? Jun 11 $115 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 12? Jun 11 $100 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on June 11? Jun 10 $15 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on June 11? Jun 10 $100 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on June 11? Jun 10 $115 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on June 10? Jun 09 $114 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on June 8? Jun 08 $97 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 on June 7? Jun 07 $114 $0 +0%
Will Solana dip to $40 June 1-7? Jun 07 $114 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on June 8? Jun 06 $114 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 7? Jun 06 $114 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 6? Jun 05 $114 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 6? Jun 05 $113 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on June 5? Jun 04 $113 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on June 5? Jun 03 $113 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 4? Jun 02 $113 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on June 3? Jun 01 $113 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May? Jun 01 $113 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 on May 30? May 31 $112 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May? May 30 $112 $0 +0%
Will Solana reach $100 in May? May 29 $112 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $84,000 on May 30? May 28 $112 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 27? May 27 $112 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28? May 27 $112 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 27? May 26 $112 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 27? May 25 $112 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 26? May 25 $112 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 26? May 25 $112 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 25? May 24 $111 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on May 25? May 24 $111 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 24? May 23 $100 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on May 24? May 23 $11 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 24? May 22 $111 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on May 23? May 22 $111 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22? May 20 $111 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 21? May 20 $111 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 19? May 18 $110 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19? May 18 $110 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on May 19? May 18 $110 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on June 22? BUY No 100¢ $39 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,300 on June 22? BUY No 100¢ $28 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,300 on June 22? BUY No 100¢ $50 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,100 on June 21? SELL No 100¢ $117 16h
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,100 on June 21? BUY No 100¢ $116 21h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 20? SELL No 100¢ $116 24h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 20? BUY No 100¢ $116 41h
Will Solana reach $90 on June 17? SELL No 100¢ $112 46h
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,100 on June 18? SELL No 100¢ $0 47h
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,100 on June 18? SELL No 100¢ $5 2d
Will Solana reach $90 on June 17? BUY No 100¢ $112 2d
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,100 on June 18? SELL No 100¢ $3 2d
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,100 on June 18? SELL No 100¢ $6 2d
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,100 on June 18? SELL No 100¢ $4 2d
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,100 on June 18? SELL No 100¢ $2 2d
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,100 on June 18? SELL No 100¢ $4 2d
Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on June 16? BUY No 100¢ $92 2d
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,100 on June 18? SELL No 100¢ $3 2d
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,100 on June 18? SELL No 100¢ $1 2d
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,100 on June 18? SELL No 100¢ $10 2d
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,100 on June 18? SELL No 100¢ $77 3d
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,100 on June 18? BUY No 100¢ $116 3d
Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on June 17? SELL No 100¢ $116 3d
Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on June 17? BUY No 100¢ $116 3d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on June 17? SELL Yes 100¢ $116 3d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on June 17? BUY Yes 100¢ $116 4d
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $52,000 on June 16? SELL No 100¢ $36 4d
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $52,000 on June 16? SELL No 100¢ $80 4d
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $52,000 on June 16? BUY No 100¢ $116 5d
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 June 8-14? SELL No 100¢ $116 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $116.58 · official $116.58 (match) · 289 history records