trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 4 | -65.1% | -68.4% | 25% | 25% | -77.6% |
| ≤90d | 14 | -7.4% | -16.2% | 71% | 57% | -30.8% |
| all | 20 | -9.8% | -18.4% | 75% | 40% | -28.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -18.4% | 40% | -28.6% |
| 10% | -26.2% | 30% | -35.5% |
| 15% | -33.3% | 25% | -41.7% |
| 20% | -39.9% | 10% | -47.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Spain (-1.5) | Uruguay | 66¢ | 66¢ | $90 | $90 | +$1 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $134 | −$132 | -99% |
| UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Ca | Jun 10 | $150 | −$149 | -99% |
| LoL: Solary vs Galions (BO5) - LFL Playoffs | Jun 03 | $75 | +$30 | +40% |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | May 28 | $68 | −$68 | -99% |
| LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challenge | May 19 | $80 | +$50 | +62% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | May 16 | $91 | +$48 | +52% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31? | May 13 | $9 | +$1 | +12% |
| Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | May 13 | $11 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | May 13 | $13 | +$3 | +20% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March | May 13 | $18 | $0 | +1% |
| Celtics vs. 76ers | May 13 | $44 | +$16 | +38% |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers | May 13 | $50 | +$14 | +29% |
| 76ers vs. Knicks | May 13 | $54 | +$22 | +40% |
| Hawks vs. Knicks | Apr 17 | $30 | −$29 | -99% |
| Will DeepSeek have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026? | Mar 04 | $18 | $0 | +2% |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28? | Feb 11 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? | Feb 03 | $15 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Hyperliquid hit $46 in January? | Feb 03 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| Trump's new travel ban on Palestinians removed by January 31? | Feb 03 | $20 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Superman be the third highest grossing movie of 2025? | Jan 10 | $22 | $0 | +0% |