Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T14:50:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B0
0xb04f…15a8
other · 52 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
+$9 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$8 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$62
Realized+$8
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)12%
Wins / losses5 / 35
Open positions12
Markets (closed)40 / 52
History coverage4d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day15.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit10%
Chart Positions 12 History 40 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days+$8
14 days+$8
30 days+$8
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 0 Curaçao? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-3%)
Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 0 Japan? Yes 8¢ 8¢ $9 $9 +$0 (+0%)
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 1 Japan? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 0 - 1 Ecuador? Yes 17¢ 16¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 0 - 0 Ecuador? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 0 - 2 Ecuador? Yes 10¢ 10¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-5%)
Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 1 Japan? Yes 8¢ 8¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-6%)
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 1 Ecuador? Yes 19¢ 18¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-8%)
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 2 Japan? Yes 6¢ 6¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-0%)
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 2 Japan? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-6%)
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 3 Ecuador? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-10%)
Exact Score: Germany 1 - 0 Curaçao? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 South Africa? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Paraguay? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 0 Türkiye? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 2 Morocco? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 0 Switzerland? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 3 Switzerland? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 1 South Africa? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 3 Morocco? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 0 Switzerland? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Morocco? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 1 Scotland? Jun 14 $4 +$26 +712%
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 3 Türkiye? Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 0 Türkiye? Jun 14 $9 −$9 -97%
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 3 Scotland? Jun 14 $4 −$4 -99%
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 3 Scotland? Jun 14 $6 −$5 -90%
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 0 Türkiye? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 1 Türkiye? Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 2 Türkiye? Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 0 Scotland? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland? Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 1 Switzerland? Jun 13 $3 +$40 +1290%
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Morocco? Jun 13 $6 −$6 -97%
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Morocco? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 0 Morocco? Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 0 Switzerland? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 0 Switzerland? Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 3 Morocco? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 2 Morocco? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 3 Morocco? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 3 Switzerland? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 2 Paraguay? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $5 +$31 +596%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $7 −$7 -97%
Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 0 Czechia? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 0 Czechia? Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 1 Czechia? Jun 12 $5 +$40 +786%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $5 +$23 +442%
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 1 South Africa? Jun 10 $2 −$2 -97%
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 0 South Africa? Jun 10 $5 −$5 -97%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 South Africa? Jun 10 $5 −$5 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 89% +$6
crypto 11% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 0 - 1 Ecuador? BUY Yes 17¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 1 Ecuador? BUY Yes 19¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 0 - 0 Ecuador? BUY Yes 16¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 3 Ecuador? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 2 Japan? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 1 Japan? BUY Yes 8¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 2 Japan? BUY Yes 9¢ $4 1h
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 1 Japan? BUY Yes 16¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 0 Japan? BUY Yes 8¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 3 Ecuador? BUY Yes 2¢ $3 1h
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 0 - 2 Ecuador? BUY Yes 10¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 2 Japan? BUY Yes 6¢ $3 1h
Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 1 Japan? BUY Yes 8¢ $4 1h
Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 0 Japan? BUY Yes 8¢ $4 1h
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 0 Curaçao? BUY Yes 16¢ $5 2h
Exact Score: Germany 1 - 0 Curaçao? BUY Yes 5¢ $3 2h
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 0 Curaçao? BUY Yes 16¢ $5 3h
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 3 Türkiye? BUY Yes 6¢ $3 11h
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 0 Türkiye? BUY Yes 8¢ $4 11h
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 3 Scotland? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 12h
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 3 Scotland? SELL Yes 1¢ $1 12h
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 0 Türkiye? BUY Yes 8¢ $2 14h
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 1 Türkiye? BUY Yes 13¢ $5 14h
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 0 Türkiye? BUY Yes 10¢ $5 14h
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 2 Türkiye? BUY Yes 13¢ $5 14h
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 3 Scotland? BUY Yes 9¢ $2 14h
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 1 Scotland? BUY Yes 12¢ $4 14h
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 3 Scotland? BUY Yes 10¢ $4 14h
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 0 Scotland? BUY Yes 6¢ $2 14h
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 3 Scotland? BUY Yes 8¢ $4 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +12%
net ROI/market (all)-1.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 40 +8.4% -1.9% 12% 12% -5.5%
≤30d 40 +8.4% -1.9% 12% 12% -5.5%
≤90d 40 +8.4% -1.9% 12% 12% -5.5%
all 40 +8.4% -1.9% 12% 12% -5.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -1.9% 12% -5.5%
10% -11.3% 12% -14.6%
15% -19.9% 12% -22.8%
20% -27.7% 12% -30.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $61.82 · official $61.23 (match) · 79 history records