Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:23:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B0
0xb05d…a000
other · 109 markets active 2h ago
0.5score
−$1,622 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,620 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$863
Realized−$1,620
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)19%
Wins / losses20 / 88
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$23
Open positions1
Markets (closed)108 / 109
History coverage118d
Avg bet$741
Trades / day2.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit66%
Chart Positions 1 History 108 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days−$7
14 days−$21
30 days−$1,167
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 100¢ 100¢ $864 $863 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 13 $4,026 −$4 -0%
Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 07 $950 −$1 -0%
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 06 $860 −$1 -0%
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 05 $1,590 −$2 -0%
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 05 $1,891 −$2 -0%
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 04 $1,112 −$1 -0%
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 04 $1,976 −$3 -0%
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in May? Jun 04 $61 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May? Jun 04 $99 $0 +0%
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 31 $3,702 −$4 -0%
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? May 31 $853 −$1 -0%
Wild vs. Avalanche May 20 $1,146 −$1,146 -100%
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026? May 09 $1,080 −$2 -0%
Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election? May 09 $1,026 −$2 -0%
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 08 $2,435 −$3 -0%
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 07 $1,136 −$1 -0%
Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 World Series? May 06 $814 −$1 -0%
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? May 05 $1,303 −$2 -0%
Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026? May 05 $1,009 −$1 -0%
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 20 $1,387 −$1 -0%
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Apr 19 $2,023 −$2 -0%
Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 19 $1,557 −$2 -0%
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 18 $2,142 −$2 -0%
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 15 $1,774 −$2 -0%
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Apr 15 $454 $0 -0%
Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 14 $504 −$1 -0%
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Apr 13 $411 $0 -0%
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Apr 11 $536 −$1 -0%
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Apr 07 $545 −$1 -0%
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 07 $987 −$1 -0%
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 05 $437 $0 -0%
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 04 $357 $0 -0%
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 03 $1,647 −$2 -0%
Will Trump visit China by March 31? Apr 01 $30 $0 +1%
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Mar 31 $799 −$1 -0%
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Mar 29 $394 $0 -0%
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Mar 29 $396 $0 -0%
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Mar 29 $484 $0 -0%
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Mar 28 $505 −$1 -0%
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Mar 27 $456 $0 -0%
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Mar 26 $1,375 −$1 -0%
Wizards vs. Jazz Mar 26 $59 −$59 -100%
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomina Mar 26 $520 −$1 -0%
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Mar 25 $579 −$1 -0%
Ducks vs. Canucks Mar 25 $36 +$22 +61%
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch? Mar 25 $32 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 24? Mar 25 $33 $0 +1%
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Mar 24 $469 $0 -0%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rott Mar 24 $56 −$56 -100%
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Mar 23 $464 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 44% −$401
politics 40% −$35
sports 14% −$1,183
economics 2% −$1
world 0% $0
crypto 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $864 1h
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $897 1h
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $898 4h
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $975 17h
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $976 21h
Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $949 5d
Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $950 6d
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $859 6d
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $860 6d
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $760 7d
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $761 7d
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $859 8d
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $860 8d
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $747 8d
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $748 8d
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $762 9d
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $764 9d
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $862 12d
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $864 12d
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $852 13d
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $853 13d
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in May? BUY No 100¢ $61 17d
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May? BUY No 100¢ $99 23d
Wild vs. Avalanche BUY Wild 34¢ $1,146 31d
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026? SELL No 100¢ $1,078 34d
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026? BUY No 100¢ $1,080 34d
Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $1,025 35d
Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $1,026 35d
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $997 35d
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $998 35d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +11%
net ROI/market (all)-15.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -0.1% -9.6% 0% 0% -9.6%
≤30d 12 -8.4% -17.1% 17% 0% -15.3%
≤90d 83 -13.4% -21.7% 14% 7% -12.4%
all 108 -7.0% -15.8% 19% 11% -11.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.8% 11% -11.4%
10% -23.9% 11% -19.9%
15% -31.2% 9% -27.6%
20% -38.0% 7% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $863.07 · official $863.07 (match) · 361 history records