Wallet analysis

2026-06-25T03:47:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
B0 0xb060…0496 crypto 77 markets active 0h ago coverage 19d
RISKYcopy with care crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
! high turnover
Total PnL −$24 (-1%) realized −$24 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +28% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -1% what you keep after slip
Net edge-1%after slip
Net WR35%break-even
Win rate36%28W / 49L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$54per market
Trades / day26.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$188now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 19d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$162
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)+16.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 34 +9.6% -0.8% 50% 50% +1.6%
≤30d 77 +28.4% +16.1% 36% 35% -6.0%
≤90d 77 +28.4% +16.1% 36% 35% -6.0%
all 77 +28.4% +16.1% 36% 35% -6.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover26.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +16.1% 35% -6.0%
10% ← realistic here +5.0% 34% -15.0%
15% -5.1% 30% -23.2%
20% -14.4% 26% -30.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 22% · top 2 33% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +28% · $-wt +4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +51% → late +6% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
6.0 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$70 vs −$37 · ×1.91 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×1.09 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

19d coverage
Net worth$188
Realized−$24
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses28 / 49
Open positions0
Markets (closed)77 / 77
History coverage19d
Avg bet$54
Trades / day26.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 77 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 25 $85 +$107 +126%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 25 $10 −$9 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 25 $101 −$101 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 25 $150 +$187 +125%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 25 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 25 $111 −$111 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 25 $150 +$134 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 25 $103 +$46 +45%
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 25 $71 +$21 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 25 $119 +$37 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 25 $10 +$17 +169%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 25 $63 +$82 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 25 $110 +$137 +125%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 25 $35 +$13 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 25 $93 −$93 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 25 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 25 $22 +$27 +120%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 25 $91 −$91 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 25 $25 +$19 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 25 $100 +$82 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 25 $96 −$96 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 25 $79 −$79 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 25 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 25 $114 −$114 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 25 $158 +$205 +130%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 25 $15 +$32 +207%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 25 $38 −$38 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 25 $42 +$171 +406%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 25 $20 −$20 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 24, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 25 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 25 $70 −$70 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 25 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 25 $140 −$140 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 25 $41 +$39 +95%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 09 $316 −$5 -2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 09 $4 +$3 +74%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 09 $58 −$41 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 09 $353 +$36 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 09 $210 −$206 -98%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 09 $7 −$1 -15%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 09 $7 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 09 $165 −$50 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 09 $161 −$161 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$1 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 09 $3 $0 -5%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 09 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 09 $38 −$38 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 09 $10 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 09 $33 −$33 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $20 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $10 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $8 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $7 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $8 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $20 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $7 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $8 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $7 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $22 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $30 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $20 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $338 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $7 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $7 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $6 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $20 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $50 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $20 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $30 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $7 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $7 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $7 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 21m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $188.37 · official $188.37 (match) · 559 history records