Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T05:37:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1.0
score
B0 0xb066…87a2 crypto 649 markets active 0h ago coverage 80d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$742 (+1%) realized +$742 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -12% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR29%break-even
Win rate59%385W / 264L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$111per market
Trades / day17.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$134
7 days−$120
14 days−$600
30 days−$1,446
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$62
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-20.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 16 -4.1% -13.2% 88% 31% -13.2%
≤30d 276 -41.5% -47.1% 53% 15% -11.8%
≤90d 649 -11.9% -20.2% 59% 29% -9.4%
all 649 -11.9% -20.2% 59% 29% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover17.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -20.2% 29% -9.4%
10% -27.9% 14% -18.1%
15% -34.8% 10% -26.0%
20% -41.2% 9% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
48% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -12% · $-wt +0% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +10% → late -34% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
2.0 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$19 vs −$27 · ×0.69 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.01 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

80d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$742
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses385 / 264
Open positions0
Markets (closed)649 / 649
History coverage80d
Avg bet$111
Trades / day17.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 649 Trades
no open positions (8 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 18 $174 +$38 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 18 $180 +$32 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 18 $190 +$22 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 18 $172 −$170 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 18 $190 +$22 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 18 $200 +$12 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 18 $196 −$195 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 18 $200 +$12 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 17 $200 +$12 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 17 $200 +$12 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 17 $200 +$12 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 17 $200 +$12 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 17 $188 +$24 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 16 $192 +$20 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 15 $31 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 15 $199 +$13 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 08 $425 −$421 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 07 $415 −$411 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 07 $310 −$302 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 07 $451 −$449 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 07 $447 +$31 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 07 $436 +$42 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 07 $315 +$21 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 07 $443 −$440 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 07 $446 +$32 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 07 $448 +$30 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 07 $451 +$27 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 07 $449 +$29 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 07 $449 +$29 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 06 $440 +$38 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 06 $445 +$33 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 06 $408 +$70 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 06 $450 +$28 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 06 $442 +$36 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 06 $450 +$28 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 06 $449 +$29 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 06 $444 +$34 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 06 $448 +$30 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 06 $438 +$40 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 06 $420 −$416 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 06 $447 +$31 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 06 $449 +$29 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 06 $450 +$28 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 06 $421 +$57 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 06 $424 +$54 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 06 $388 +$90 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 06 $392 +$86 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 06 $418 +$60 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 06 $448 +$30 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 06 $402 +$76 +19%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $174 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $180 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $190 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $172 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $190 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $120 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $79 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $196 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $200 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $9 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $19 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $39 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $16 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $22 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $16 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $78 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $158 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $42 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $116 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $83 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $200 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $188 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $192 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $31 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $104 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $37 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $26 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $28 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2073 history records