trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 1 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 4 | -9.3% | -18.0% | 50% | 0% | -27.8% |
| all | 12 | -10.9% | -19.3% | 25% | 0% | -25.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -19.3% | 0% | -25.8% |
| 10% | -27.1% | 0% | -32.9% |
| 15% | -34.1% | 0% | -39.4% |
| 20% | -40.6% | 0% | -45.3% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping out by June 30? | Jun 27 | $111 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | May 08 | $208 | −$78 | -38% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 23? | May 05 | $42 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on April 3? | Apr 07 | $26 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Solana be above $80 on March 19? | Mar 25 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 05 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Mar 05 | $5 | −$1 | -25% |
| Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Mar 03 | $7 | $0 | -0% |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 03 | $17 | −$2 | -10% |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Mar 02 | $52 | −$8 | -15% |
| Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Feb 28 | $21 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Feb 28 | $11 | −$5 | -43% |