Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T23:31:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
B0 0xb06f…884c sports 84 markets active 0h ago coverage 12d
BOTnot copyable sports specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (82 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$55 (+0%) realized +$55 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR6%break-even
Win rate74%62W / 22L
Whale WR86%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$148per market
Trades / day81.7pace
Fees−$246est.
Kalshi-fit70%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$9
7 days−$9
14 days−$25
30 days−$25
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 91% +$5
other 9% −$30
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (82 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +6%
net ROI/market (all)-11.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 57 -2.9% -12.1% 79% 7% -9.6%
≤30d 84 -2.6% -11.9% 74% 6% -9.7%
≤90d 84 -2.6% -11.9% 74% 6% -9.7%
all 84 -2.6% -11.9% 74% 6% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover81.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.9% 6% -9.7%
10% ← realistic here -20.3% 1% -18.3%
15% -28.0% 0% -26.2%
20% -35.1% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 12% · top 2 24% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
92% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 86% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -2% → late -4% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
5.8 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$10 · ×0.31 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.89 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

12d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$55
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)74%
Wins / losses62 / 22
Whale WR (big bets)86%
Est. fees paid−$246
Open positions0
Markets (closed)84 / 84
History coverage12d
Avg bet$148
Trades / day81.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit70%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 84 Trades
no open positions (4 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 15 $150 −$13 -9%
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 15 $764 +$3 +0%
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 15 $316 +$8 +2%
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5 Jun 15 $695 +$4 +0%
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? Jun 15 $151 +$1 +1%
Belgium vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 15 $826 +$23 +3%
Belgium vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 15 $145 +$5 +4%
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5 Jun 15 $273 +$3 +1%
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5 Jun 15 $405 +$8 +2%
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5 Jun 15 $278 $0 -0%
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 15 $830 +$6 +1%
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 15 $180 −$1 -0%
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) Jun 15 $116 +$23 +20%
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 4.5 Jun 15 $841 −$66 -8%
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 3.5 Jun 15 $39 −$3 -7%
Sweden vs. Tunisia: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 15 $120 +$1 +0%
Sweden vs. Tunisia: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 15 $139 +$3 +2%
Sweden vs. Tunisia: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 15 $134 −$29 -22%
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5 Jun 15 $479 −$1 -0%
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 0.5 Jun 15 $515 +$3 +1%
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $753 +$7 +1%
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $136 +$4 +3%
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $276 +$1 +0%
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $93 +$2 +2%
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $128 +$3 +3%
Netherlands vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $283 +$1 +0%
Netherlands vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $50 $0 +0%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 8.5 Jun 14 $75 +$2 +2%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5 Jun 14 $183 +$2 +1%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5 Jun 14 $221 +$4 +2%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 Jun 14 $170 $0 +0%
Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $95 +$3 +3%
Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $59 $0 +1%
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $55 −$12 -21%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $30 +$1 +2%
Will CR Brasil win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $54 −$54 -100%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $30 +$2 +7%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $61 −$1 -1%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $285 +$7 +2%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $30 +$2 +5%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $251 +$6 +2%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $67 +$4 +6%
Mexico vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $127 +$4 +3%
Will SC Recife win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $10 +$1 +14%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 3.5 Jun 10 $96 +$2 +2%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $280 +$3 +1%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 3.5 Jun 10 $33 +$1 +4%
Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 3.5 Jun 10 $61 +$5 +8%
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $24 +$1 +5%
Will Fortaleza EC win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $49 +$3 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 28¢ $137 2m
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 30¢ $150 5m
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5 SELL Over 100¢ $0 37m
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5 SELL Under 99¢ $151 38m
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 98¢ $150 38m
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5 SELL Under 91¢ $153 40m
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 89¢ $150 41m
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5 SELL Over 15¢ $0 45m
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5 SELL Over 15¢ $15 45m
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Over 11¢ $11 45m
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5 SELL Under 86¢ $5 46m
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 85¢ $5 46m
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5 SELL Under 77¢ $145 47m
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Under 79¢ $151 47m
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5 SELL Under 71¢ $7 52m
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Under 69¢ $7 53m
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5 SELL Under 67¢ $2 55m
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5 SELL Under 67¢ $125 55m
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5 SELL Under 67¢ $1 55m
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Under 66¢ $9 56m
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Under 66¢ $68 56m
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Under 66¢ $48 56m
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5 SELL Under 62¢ $104 1h
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5 SELL Under 62¢ $5 1h
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5 SELL Under 62¢ $10 1h
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5 SELL Under 62¢ $10 1h
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5 SELL Under 62¢ $10 1h
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5 SELL Under 62¢ $10 1h
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5 SELL Under 62¢ $4 1h
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Under 61¢ $152 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 979 history records