Wallet analysis

2026-06-22T03:38:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2.5
score
B0 0xb072…64de other 18 markets active 2h ago coverage 107d
TRAPdo not copy ⚠ Small sample
✗ negative after realistic slippage! limited sample (<25 closed)
Total PnL −$1 (-0%) realized −$1 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -10% what you keep after slip
Net edge-10%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate0%0W / 18L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$114per market
Trades / day0.4pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit56%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$0
14 days−$0
30 days−$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
other 42% $0
politics 26% $0
sports 16% $0
crypto 11% $0
world 5% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 -0.0% -9.5% 0% 0% -9.5%
≤30d 4 -0.1% -9.6% 0% 0% -9.6%
≤90d 14 -0.1% -9.6% 0% 0% -9.6%
all 18 -0.1% -9.6% 0% 0% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover0.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.6% 0% -9.6%
10% -18.2% 0% -18.2%
15% -26.1% 0% -26.1%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top —% · top 2 —% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
—% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late -0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
— vs −$0 no data
Profit factor
×0.0 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

107d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 18
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)18 / 18
History coverage107d
Avg bet$114
Trades / day0.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit56%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 18 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 22 $107 $0 -0%
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $107 $0 -0%
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on Jun 03 $107 $0 -0%
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 28 $107 −$1 -0%
Trump out as President by May 31? May 20 $107 $0 +0%
Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? May 19 $107 $0 -0%
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 17 $107 $0 -0%
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 14 $108 $0 -0%
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026? May 09 $108 $0 -0%
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 17 $218 $0 -0%
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026? Apr 14 $109 $0 -0%
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 10 $109 $0 -0%
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Apr 06 $109 $0 -0%
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Mar 29 $109 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Mar 20 $109 $0 +0%
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026? Mar 16 $109 $0 +0%
Will the New York Rangers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Mar 13 $109 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March? Mar 07 $109 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $107 1h
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $107 23h
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $107 9d
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $107 9d
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on SELL No 100¢ $107 18d
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on BUY No 100¢ $107 19d
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 98¢ $107 24d
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $107 24d
Trump out as President by May 31? SELL No 100¢ $107 32d
Trump out as President by May 31? BUY No 100¢ $107 32d
Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? SELL No 99¢ $107 33d
Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? BUY No 99¢ $107 33d
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 96¢ $107 35d
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 97¢ $107 35d
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $107 38d
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $108 38d
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026? SELL No 100¢ $108 43d
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026? BUY No 100¢ $108 44d
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL No 100¢ $109 65d
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 100¢ $109 65d
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026? SELL No 100¢ $109 68d
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026? BUY No 100¢ $109 68d
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $109 72d
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $109 72d
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $109 76d
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $109 77d
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $109 85d
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $109 85d
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $109 94d
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $63 94d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 50 history records