trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 26 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 58% | 54% | -9.0% |
| ≤30d | 30 | +5.3% | -4.8% | 57% | 53% | -4.0% |
| ≤90d | 30 | +5.3% | -4.8% | 57% | 53% | -4.0% |
| all | 30 | +5.3% | -4.8% | 57% | 53% | -4.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -4.8% | 53% | -4.0% |
| 10% | -13.9% | 47% | -13.2% |
| 15% | -22.2% | 43% | -21.6% |
| 20% | -29.8% | 27% | -29.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 19¢ | $5 | $6 | +$1 (+12%) |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 8¢ | 12¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+42%) |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 13¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+11%) |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Yes | 65¢ | 66¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? | Yes | 88¢ | 86¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw? | Yes | 24¢ | 24¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 9¢ | 7¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-18%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 14¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-21%) |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 9¢ | 6¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-33%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $1 | $0 | +12% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $1 | +$1 | +76% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $1 | +$1 | +62% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $1 | $0 | +29% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $1 | +$1 | +57% |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $1 | $0 | +38% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 17 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 17 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $1 | $0 | +38% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $1 | $0 | +40% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $1 | $0 | +21% |
| Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $1 | $0 | +48% |
| Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $1 | +$3 | +291% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $1 | +$3 | +250% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan O/U 0.5 | Jun 14 | $1 | $0 | +46% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $1 | $0 | +6% |
| Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $1 | +$1 | +83% |
| Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 04 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 04 | $1 | +$1 | +93% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 04 | $1 | +$3 | +268% |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 23 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |