Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:29:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B0
0xb075…de2c
crypto · 1229 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$657 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,223 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$1,223
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses837 / 648
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1485 / 1229
History coverage11d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day239.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1485 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,879
7 days−$1,771
14 days−$1,223
30 days−$1,223
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Up 66¢ 66¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$8 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $45 −$45 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$707
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 16m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 24m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 25m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 40m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 45m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 45m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 45m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 45m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 46m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 46m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 46m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 55m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 59m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 59m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-28.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1241 -26.9% -33.9% 55% 30% -45.8%
≤30d 1485 -20.6% -28.2% 56% 33% -22.3%
≤90d 1485 -20.6% -28.2% 56% 33% -22.3%
all 1485 -20.6% -28.2% 56% 33% -22.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover239.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -28.2% 33% -22.3%
10% ← realistic here -35.1% 22% -29.7%
15% -41.3% 15% -36.5%
20% -47.1% 11% -42.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.02 · official $1.59 (match) · 3500 history records