trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +0.3% | -9.2% | 100% | 0% | -9.2% |
| ≤30d | 1 | +0.3% | -9.2% | 100% | 0% | -9.2% |
| ≤90d | 1 | +0.3% | -9.2% | 100% | 0% | -9.2% |
| all | 27 | +0.2% | -9.4% | 44% | 0% | -9.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.4% | 0% | -9.3% |
| 10% | -18.0% | 0% | -18.0% |
| 15% | -26.0% | 0% | -25.9% |
| 20% | -33.2% | 0% | -33.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 90¢ | 90¢ | $28 | $28 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | Yes | 4¢ | 1¢ | $0 | $0 | −$0 (-66%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 17 | $30 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026? | Jan 10 | $10 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia? | Dec 19 | $18 | +$1 | +3% |
| Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Dec 15 | $12 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomina | Dec 05 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Oct 14 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump sell 2.5k-5k Gold Cards in 2025? | Oct 13 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $95k in October? | Oct 12 | $19 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31? | Oct 12 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026? | Oct 09 | $8 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the San Diego Padres win the 2025 World Series? | Oct 02 | $19 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration in 2025? | Sep 30 | $19 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum hit $14,000 by December 31? | Sep 30 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Sep 30 | $7 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025? | Sep 29 | $28 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decemb | Sep 28 | $27 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Sep 27 | $27 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Gabriela Firea be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | Sep 27 | $26 | $0 | +0% |
| Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Sep 27 | $27 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Sep 26 | $27 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? | Sep 26 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Sep 26 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Sep 26 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Meta have the top AI model on December 31? | Sep 25 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Sep 25 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Sep 24 | $27 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus? | Sep 24 | $27 | $0 | +0% |