Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T16:44:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B0
0xb07e…0df5
sports · 1677 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$8,036 -19%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$928 · open −$240
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$356
Realized−$928
Unrealized−$240
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses700 / 591
Whale WR (big bets)20%
Est. fees paid−$675
Open positions3
Markets (closed)1291 / 1677
History coverage25d
Avg bet$25
Trades / day113.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 1291 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7,267
7 days−$5,121
14 days−$1,166
30 days−$928
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? Yes 8¢ 4¢ $540 $299 −$241 (-45%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5 Over 65¢ 66¢ $39 $39 +$0 (+1%)
Joventut vs. Valencia Valencia 53¢ 56¢ $16 $17 +$1 (+6%)
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Maddison Inglis Maddison Inglis 17¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5 Under 48¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5 Under 54¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Vit Kopriva vs Corentin Moutet Corentin Moutet 40¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Tormo vs. Korpatsch: Match O/U 21.5 Over 45¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Los Angeles Angels vs. Toronto Blue Jays Los Angeles Angels 33¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Spread: Thunder (-3.5) Spurs 48¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Leolia Jeanjean Leolia Jeanjean 43¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics Athletics 46¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 5.5 Over 59¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 5.5 Under 47¢ 0¢ $78 $0 −$78 (-100%)
Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5) San Diego Padres 40¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5 Over 39¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Will SV Werder Bremen vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
HSBC Championships: Shuai Zhang vs Alexandra Eala Shuai Zhang 51¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Geneva Open: Raphael Collignon vs Casper Ruud Raphael Collignon 40¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Diane Parry vs Amanda Anisimova Amanda Anisimova 50¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 7.5 Over 33¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Set Handicap: Garin (-1.5) vs Choinski (+1.5) Garin 48¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Katie Boulter vs Eva Lys Katie Boulter 23¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Jeline Vandromme Jeline Vandromme 25¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Los Angeles Angels vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics Jun 14 $30 −$30 -100%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 5.5 Jun 14 $78 −$78 -100%
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw? Jun 14 $24 −$24 -100%
Will SV Werder Bremen vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw? Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Geneva Open: Raphael Collignon vs Casper Ruud Jun 14 $46 −$46 -100%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 7.5 Jun 14 $35 −$35 -100%
Set Handicap: Garin (-1.5) vs Choinski (+1.5) Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Katie Boulter vs Eva Lys Jun 14 $28 −$28 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Mattia Bellucci vs Martin Landaluce Jun 14 $62 −$62 -100%
Madrid Open: Alexander Blockx vs Alexander Zverev Jun 14 $106 −$106 -100%
Set Handicap: Prizmic (-1.5) vs Humbert (+1.5) Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Ugo Humbert vs Dino Prizmic Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jasmine Paolini vs Leolia Jeanjean Jun 14 $146 −$146 -100%
Will CF Montréal vs. Orlando City SC end in a draw? Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Set Handicap: Bondar (-1.5) vs Arango (+1.5) Jun 14 $94 −$94 -100%
Juvan vs. Uchijima: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Spread: Thunder (-11.5) Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
Hurricanes vs. Flyers Jun 14 $144 −$144 -100%
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5 Jun 14 $18 −$18 -100%
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5) Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Jiujiang: Lanlana Tararudee vs Sofya Lansere Jun 14 $34 −$34 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Emma Navarro vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-03? Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Paris: Talia Gibson vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich Jun 14 $84 −$84 -100%
San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5 Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5 Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Will FC Metz win on 2026-05-10? Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5 Jun 14 $30 −$30 -100%
Watson vs. You: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $42 −$42 -100%
Chicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5 Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs M Jun 14 $116 −$116 -100%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 Jun 14 $33 −$33 -100%
Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-05-03? Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Set Handicap: Tsitsipas (-1.5) vs Perricard (+1.5) Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5) Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Geneva Open, Qualification: Kilian Feldbausch vs Nishesh Basavareddy Jun 14 $26 −$26 -100%
Paris: Chloe Paquet vs Maya Joint Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5 Jun 14 $45 −$45 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Dalma Galfi vs Anastasia Potapova Jun 14 $109 −$109 -100%
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
Canadiens vs. Lightning Jun 14 $27 −$27 -100%
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-10? Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres Jun 14 $39 −$39 -100%
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem, Qualification: Fiona Ferro vs Elina Jun 14 $35 −$35 -100%
Will Sporting Kansas City win on 2026-05-02? Jun 14 $21 −$21 -100%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Marina Bassols Ribera vs Karolina Pl Jun 14 $51 −$51 -100%
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5) Jun 14 $84 −$84 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 97% +$6,539
politics 3% +$15
other 0% +$53
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Marcos Giron SELL Rinky Hijikata 100¢ $26 1h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Himeno Sakatsume vs Alicia Dudeney SELL Himeno Sakatsume 100¢ $21 1h
Joventut vs. Valencia BUY Valencia 53¢ $17 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 65¢ $9 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 65¢ $2 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 65¢ $28 1h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Himeno Sakatsume vs Alicia Dudeney BUY Himeno Sakatsume 47¢ $10 2h
Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania? SELL No 99¢ $914 2h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Giovanni Mp BUY Aleksandar Kovacevic 24¢ $4 2h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Marcos Giron BUY Rinky Hijikata 63¢ $6 2h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Sofia Kenin BUY Sofia Kenin 21¢ $1 3h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Marcos Giron BUY Rinky Hijikata 62¢ $11 3h
HSBC Championships: Donna Vekic vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 35¢ $12 3h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Kimberly Birrell SELL Katie Volynets 100¢ $102 3h
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alex de Minaur BUY Alex de Minaur 53¢ $16 3h
Set Handicap: Shelton (-1.5) vs Fritz (+1.5) BUY Shelton 46¢ $4 3h
Halle Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Alex Bolt BUY Alex Bolt 45¢ $29 3h
Halle Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Nikoloz Basilashvili SELL Nikoloz Basilashvili 100¢ $46 4h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Kimberly Birrell BUY Katie Volynets 33¢ $5 4h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Kimberly Birrell BUY Katie Volynets 53¢ $6 5h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Kimberly Birrell BUY Katie Volynets 53¢ $41 9h
Halle Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Nikoloz Basilashvili BUY Nikoloz Basilashvili 39¢ $6 9h
Halle Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Nikoloz Basilashvili BUY Nikoloz Basilashvili 39¢ $12 9h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 100¢ $70 10h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Colorado Rockies 54¢ $29 13h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $3 13h
Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire SELL PortlandFire 100¢ $30 13h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 18¢ $11 13h
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury BUY Phoenix Mercury 56¢ $5 13h
Spread: Spurs (-6.5) BUY Spurs 46¢ $33 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)+17.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 429 -19.0% -26.7% 35% 35% -43.1%
≤30d 1291 +29.3% +17.0% 54% 54% -11.7%
≤90d 1291 +29.3% +17.0% 54% 54% -11.7%
all 1291 +29.3% +17.0% 54% 54% -11.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover113.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +17.0% 54% -11.7%
10% ← realistic here +5.8% 54% -20.1%
15% -4.4% 54% -27.8%
20% -13.8% 53% -34.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $355.54 · official $355.54 (match) · 3500 history records