Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T16:38:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1.0
score
B0 0xb081…a050 crypto 114 markets active 1h ago coverage 117d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$103 (-0%) realized −$103 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -10% what you keep after slip
Net edge-10%after slip
Net WR11%break-even
Win rate85%97W / 17L
Whale WR88%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$301per market
Trades / day1.5pace
Kalshi-fit96%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$67
7 days+$67
14 days+$67
30 days+$67
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$113
other 0% +$12
sports 0% −$15
world 0% −$10
finance 0% +$15
tech 0% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +11%
net ROI/market (all)-10.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 14 +0.9% -8.7% 79% 0% -8.8%
≤30d 14 +0.9% -8.7% 79% 0% -8.8%
≤90d 18 -4.7% -13.8% 78% 0% -10.5%
all 114 -0.9% -10.4% 85% 11% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover1.5 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.4% 11% -9.8%
10% -19.0% 4% -18.4%
15% -26.8% 3% -26.3%
20% -34.0% 3% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 8% · top 2 14% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
87% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 88% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +0% → late -2% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$12 vs −$74 · ×0.16 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.92 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

117d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$103
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)85%
Wins / losses97 / 17
Whale WR (big bets)88%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)114 / 114
History coverage117d
Avg bet$301
Trades / day1.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 114 Trades
no open positions (5 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 19 $501 +$10 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 19 $1,001 +$9 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 19 $500 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 19 $500 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 19 $1,001 +$9 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 19 $501 +$9 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 19 $500 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 19 $502 +$20 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 19 $500 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 19 $1,001 +$9 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 18 $1,003 −$12 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 18 $1,004 −$7 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 18 $100 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Mar 22 $176 −$176 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Mar 22 $174 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Mar 22 $174 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Mar 22 $173 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Mar 12 $560 −$558 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Mar 12 $549 +$11 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Mar 12 $508 +$21 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Mar 12 $529 +$19 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Mar 12 $472 +$10 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Mar 12 $482 +$26 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Mar 12 $453 +$19 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Mar 12 $430 +$13 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Mar 12 $443 +$10 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Mar 12 $422 +$9 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Mar 12 $401 +$21 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Mar 12 $360 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Mar 12 $361 +$39 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Mar 12 $341 +$20 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Mar 12 $651 +$20 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Mar 12 $317 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Mar 12 $84 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Mar 12 $262 +$18 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Mar 12 $280 +$37 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Mar 11 $250 +$10 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Mar 11 $466 +$34 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Mar 11 $207 +$11 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Mar 11 $186 +$20 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Mar 11 $172 +$15 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Mar 11 $430 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Mar 11 $219 −$219 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Mar 11 $211 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Mar 11 $625 +$87 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Mar 11 $618 +$7 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Mar 11 $593 +$25 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Mar 11 $561 +$32 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Mar 11 $555 +$6 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $501 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1,001 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $500 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $500 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1,001 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $501 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $500 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET SELL Down 100¢ $522 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $502 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $500 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1,001 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $831 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $161 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1,003 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $45 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $952 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1,004 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $101 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $100 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $176 89d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $174 89d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $174 89d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $174 89d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $173 89d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $560 99d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $549 99d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $549 99d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $529 99d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 291 history records