Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:03:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B0
0xb082…97a8
crypto · 22 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$1 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized+$2
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)29%
Wins / losses5 / 12
Open positions5
Markets (closed)17 / 22
History coverage1d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day35.0
Drawdown86%
Kalshi-fit64%
Chart Positions 5 History 17 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days+$2
14 days+$2
30 days+$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 11¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-0%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will France win on 2026-06-16? Yes 67¢ 66¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? Yes 16¢ 6¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-59%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Morocco? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 -8%
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? Jun 13 $1 $0 +47%
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Morocco? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$7 +260%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +178%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $1 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$12 +236%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 75% +$4
other 25% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will France win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 67¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $5 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET SELL Up 70¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET SELL Down 33¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET SELL Up 74¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? SELL Yes 17¢ $2 2h
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Morocco? BUY Yes 5¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET SELL Up 94¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 5h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 63¢ $1 5h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 5h
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Morocco? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 5h
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 16¢ $1 5h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $1 5h
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 17¢ $2 6h
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-23.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 17 -15.3% -23.4% 29% 29% -3.8%
≤30d 17 -15.3% -23.4% 29% 29% -3.8%
≤90d 17 -15.3% -23.4% 29% 29% -3.8%
all 17 -15.3% -23.4% 29% 29% -3.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover35.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -23.4% 29% -3.8%
10% ← realistic here -30.7% 29% -13.0%
15% -37.4% 29% -21.4%
20% -43.5% 18% -29.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.36 · official $5.36 (match) · 41 history records