Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:13:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B0
0xb0ac…fc68
crypto · 465 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)91%
Wins / losses423 / 42
Open positions0
Markets (closed)465 / 465
History coverage72d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day6.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 465 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$3
14 days+$7
30 days+$9
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +8%
net ROI/market (all)-10.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 199 -0.5% -10.0% 96% 2% -9.8%
≤30d 414 -0.6% -10.1% 94% 4% -9.1%
≤90d 465 -0.7% -10.1% 91% 8% -9.6%
all 465 -0.7% -10.1% 91% 8% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.1% 8% -9.6%
10% -18.7% 5% -18.2%
15% -26.6% 3% -26.1%
20% -33.8% 3% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 937 history records