Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T16:00:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
B0 0xb0b6…ddff crypto 1589 markets active 1h ago coverage 88d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 87d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$34 (+1%) realized +$34 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -17% what you keep after slip
Net edge-17%after slip
Net WR5%break-even
Win rate95%1504W / 85L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$3per market
Trades / day18.3pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days+$5
14 days−$3
30 days−$17
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 96% −$8
weather 4% −$75
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 240 +0.2% -9.3% 95% 8% -9.2%
≤30d 1007 -0.6% -10.1% 94% 4% -9.9%
≤90d 1589 -0.1% -9.6% 95% 5% -10.9%
all 1589 -0.1% -9.6% 95% 5% -10.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover18.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.6% 5% -10.9%
10% -18.3% 0% -19.5%
15% -26.2% 0% -27.2%
20% -33.4% 0% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
90% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late -0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$4 · ×0.04 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.77 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

88d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$34
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)95%
Wins / losses1504 / 85
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1589 / 1589
History coverage88d ⚠
Avg bet$3
Trades / day18.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1589 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 18 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 18 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 18 $3 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 18 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 18 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 18 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 18 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 18 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records