trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | +37.0% | +24.0% | 57% | 57% | +15.6% |
| ≤30d | 17 | -3.1% | -12.4% | 35% | 35% | -29.3% |
| ≤90d | 21 | +11.4% | +0.8% | 43% | 43% | -9.5% |
| all | 23 | +27.3% | +15.1% | 43% | 43% | +19.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +15.1% | 43% | +19.4% |
| 10% | +4.1% | 43% | +8.0% |
| 15% | -5.9% | 43% | -2.4% |
| 20% | -15.2% | 43% | -12.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | Yes | 12¢ | 14¢ | $35 | $42 | +$7 (+21%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 14¢ | $50 | $41 | −$9 (-19%) |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 21¢ | 14¢ | $50 | $33 | −$17 (-33%) |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 68¢ | 68¢ | $30 | $30 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Scotland vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 45¢ | 44¢ | $30 | $30 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 10¢ | 13¢ | $20 | $26 | +$6 (+32%) |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 6¢ | $20 | $18 | −$2 (-10%) |
| Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Yes | 27¢ | 26¢ | $15 | $15 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 7¢ | 6¢ | $5 | $4 | −$1 (-14%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Jun 18 | $100 | +$72 | +72% |
| France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score | Jun 16 | $41 | +$32 | +79% |
| Senegal to score first vs. France? | Jun 16 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $10 | +$31 | +307% |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score | Jun 15 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $35 | −$35 | -99% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 15 | $20 | +$20 | +100% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 31 | $51 | +$84 | +165% |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score | May 30 | $30 | +$27 | +90% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 30 | $27 | −$27 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET | May 30 | $79 | −$79 | -100% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $77 | −$75 | -98% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | May 30 | $105 | −$11 | -11% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 29 | $70 | −$62 | -88% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 29 | $50 | −$22 | -43% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | May 24 | $100 | −$35 | -35% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May? | May 24 | $82 | −$74 | -91% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026? | Apr 26 | $50 | +$81 | +161% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April? | Apr 21 | $70 | +$65 | +92% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 15? | Apr 11 | $100 | +$139 | +139% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April? | Apr 07 | $84 | −$81 | -96% |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | Feb 28 | $128 | +$625 | +488% |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? | Feb 27 | $146 | −$146 | -100% |