Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T16:41:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
B0 0xb0bd…5d6c crypto 791 markets active 7h ago coverage 49d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$10 (-1%) realized −$10 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -18% what you keep after slip
Net edge-18%after slip
Net WR31%break-even
Win rate87%691W / 100L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$1per market
Trades / day16.3pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$10
14 days−$2
30 days−$21
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% −$16
world 1% $0
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-11.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 156 -6.8% -15.7% 83% 32% -15.3%
≤30d 757 -2.7% -11.9% 87% 31% -11.9%
≤90d 791 -2.0% -11.4% 87% 31% -11.4%
all 791 -2.0% -11.4% 87% 31% -11.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover16.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.4% 31% -11.4%
10% -19.8% 17% -19.8%
15% -27.6% 7% -27.6%
20% -34.7% 2% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
62% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -3% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$1 · ×0.12 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.83 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

49d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$10
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)87%
Wins / losses691 / 100
Open positions0
Markets (closed)791 / 791
History coverage49d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day16.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 791 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1600 history records