Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T08:23:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.5
score
B0 0xb0cb…3f7f crypto 487 markets active 9h ago coverage 76d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$526 (+0%) realized +$526 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -21% what you keep after slip
Net edge-21%after slip
Net WR25%break-even
Win rate80%388W / 99L
Whale WR99%big bets
Drawdown85%max
Avg bet$266per market
Trades / day10.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$66now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$719
7 days+$211
14 days+$469
30 days+$508
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$364
weather 0% −$28
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-14.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 93 -0.7% -10.2% 98% 1% -9.3%
≤30d 278 +6.9% -3.3% 96% 15% -9.2%
≤90d 487 -5.0% -14.1% 80% 25% -9.3%
all 487 -5.0% -14.1% 80% 25% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover10.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.1% 25% -9.3%
10% -22.3% 19% -17.9%
15% -29.8% 10% -25.9%
20% -36.7% 6% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 8% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
68% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt +0% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR 99% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -18% → late +8% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$6 vs −$18 · ×0.3 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.18 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

76d coverage
Net worth$66
Realized+$526
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)80%
Wins / losses388 / 99
Whale WR (big bets)99%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)487 / 487
History coverage76d
Avg bet$266
Trades / day10.0
Drawdown85%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 487 Trades
no open positions (74 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 19 $432 +$52 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 19 $690 +$6 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 19 $683 +$6 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 19 $677 +$6 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 19 $671 +$6 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 19 $641 +$28 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 19 $637 +$6 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 19 $631 +$6 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 19 $625 +$6 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 19 $619 +$6 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 19 $105 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 19 $612 +$6 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 19 $606 +$6 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 19 $600 +$6 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 19 $594 +$6 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 19 $979 −$979 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 19 $89 −$89 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 19 $1,649 +$15 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 19 $218 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 19 $42 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 19 $1,405 +$13 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 19 $1,015 +$10 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 19 $1,606 +$16 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 19 $255 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 19 $173 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 18 $1,686 +$16 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 18 $1,668 +$17 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 18 $1,653 +$16 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 18 $1,635 +$17 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 18 $1,621 +$15 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 18 $1,606 +$15 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 18 $1,589 +$16 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 18 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 18 $262 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 18 $298 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 18 $1,646 +$17 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 18 $1,633 +$15 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 18 $1,618 +$15 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 18 $815 +$8 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 18 $1,594 +$15 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 17 $1,637 +$15 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 17 $1,614 +$19 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 17 $1,603 +$15 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 17 $1,652 +$16 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 17 $1,636 +$16 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 17 $1,617 +$17 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 17 $927 +$9 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 16 $1,041 +$10 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 16 $517 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 16 $445 +$4 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $163 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $243 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $26 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $690 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $683 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $677 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $671 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $147 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $120 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $43 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $7 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $324 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $637 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $631 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $625 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $619 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $105 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $612 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $606 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $600 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $594 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $979 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $56 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $29 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1,649 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $119 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $42 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1,405 24h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $66.43 · official $63.07 · 1654 history records