trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +56.0% | +41.1% | 50% | 50% | -22.6% |
| ≤30d | 4 | +56.0% | +41.1% | 50% | 50% | -22.6% |
| ≤90d | 5 | +29.3% | +17.0% | 40% | 40% | -34.8% |
| all | 11 | -2.7% | -11.9% | 45% | 36% | -40.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.9% | 36% | -40.1% |
| 10% | -20.4% | 36% | -45.8% |
| 15% | -28.1% | 36% | -51.1% |
| 20% | -35.1% | 36% | -55.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 6¢ | $217 | $228 | +$10 (+5%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 17 | $122 | −$32 | -26% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $252 | −$249 | -99% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $126 | +$127 | +101% |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $31 | +$79 | +250% |
| Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026? | May 16 | $586 | −$111 | -19% |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? | Dec 23 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential elect | Dec 23 | $4 | +$3 | +64% |
| Will Sylvi Listhaug become the next Prime Minister of Norway? | Nov 29 | $217 | −$217 | -100% |
| Will Erna Solberg become the next Prime Minister of Norway? | Nov 29 | $177 | −$177 | -100% |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024? | Jan 01 | $176 | +$97 | +55% |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin in 2024? | Dec 02 | $167 | +$9 | +5% |