Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:38:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B0
0xb0e9…d01a
sports · 6 markets active 2h ago
3.5score
+$10 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$20 · open −$10
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$590
Realized+$20
Unrealized−$10
Win rate (resolved)20%
Wins / losses1 / 4
Est. fees paid−$13
Open positions1
Markets (closed)5 / 6
History coverage1d
Avg bet$204
Trades / day8.2
Drawdown84%
Kalshi-fit67%
Chart Positions 1 History 5 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$20
7 days+$20
14 days+$20
30 days+$20
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Over 67¢ 66¢ $600 $590 −$10 (-2%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Over 42¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Yes 33¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $102 −$100 -98%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $121 −$3 -2%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $131 −$6 -5%
Mexico leading at halftime? Jun 11 $203 +$189 +93%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $61 −$60 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 78% −$120
other 22% +$129
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 7.5 Total Corners BUY Over 66¢ $404 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 42¢ $102 8h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 61¢ $119 8h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 61¢ $121 13h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 66¢ $125 13h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 68¢ $131 14h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 7.5 Total Corners BUY Over 68¢ $202 14h
Mexico leading at halftime? SELL Yes 100¢ $183 26h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 33¢ $61 26h
Mexico leading at halftime? SELL Yes 90¢ $209 27h
Mexico leading at halftime? BUY Yes 48¢ $203 33h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-30.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 -22.8% -30.1% 20% 20% -6.6%
≤30d 5 -22.8% -30.1% 20% 20% -6.6%
≤90d 5 -22.8% -30.1% 20% 20% -6.6%
all 5 -22.8% -30.1% 20% 20% -6.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -30.1% 20% -6.6%
10% -36.8% 20% -15.5%
15% -42.9% 20% -23.7%
20% -48.5% 20% -31.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $589.62 · official $589.62 (match) · 11 history records