Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T08:01:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B0
0xb0ed…6cf5
weather · 45 markets active 0h ago
1.5score
−$210 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$211 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$932
Realized−$211
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)88%
Wins / losses37 / 5
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions3
Markets (closed)42 / 45
Avg bet$326
Trades / day0.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 3 History 42 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$5
7 days+$10
14 days+$15
30 days+$63
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $695 $696 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $190 $190 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 12? No 99¢ 100¢ $46 $47 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $287 $0 −$287 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 11? Jun 12 $1 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on June 11? Jun 11 $499 +$1 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 11? Jun 11 $377 +$3 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on June 10? Jun 10 $163 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on June 10? Jun 10 $100 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on June 9? Jun 09 $979 +$1 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 8? Jun 08 $978 +$1 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 7? Jun 07 $977 +$1 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 6? Jun 06 $975 +$1 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 5? Jun 05 $265 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 5? Jun 05 $710 +$1 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 4? Jun 04 $974 +$1 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 3? Jun 03 $954 +$1 +0%
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? Jun 01 $250 +$2 +1%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? May 31 $720 +$1 +0%
Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on May May 30 $706 +$1 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on May 26? May 26 $18 +$1 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C or higher on May 26? May 26 $150 $0 +0%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 3 May 26 $204 +$1 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on May 22? May 22 $95 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C or higher on May 22? May 22 $72 $0 +0%
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? May 20 $51 +$45 +90%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? May 19 $50 $0 +1%
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? May 06 $48 −$29 -61%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on May 2? May 03 $52 $0 +0%
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch? May 02 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Mar 24 $291 −$287 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Mar 24 $285 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Mar 24 $288 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Mar 24 $280 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Mar 24 $271 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Mar 24 $274 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Mar 23 $268 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Mar 23 $258 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Mar 23 $260 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Mar 23 $263 +$5 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Mar 23 $252 +$5 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 19? Mar 20 $23 $0 -1%
Will Accenture (ACN) beat quarterly earnings? Mar 20 $215 −$1 -0%
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18? Mar 19 $10 +$4 +35%
FC Bayern München vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Score Mar 19 $17 −$1 -4%
Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: Both Teams to Score Mar 18 $23 +$1 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 64% +$13
crypto 21% −$249
tech 6% +$2
other 5% +$5
world 2% +$2
finance 1% −$1
sports 1% +$16
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $1 4m
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $8 14m
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $44 14m
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $190 2h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 12? BUY No 99¢ $99 2h
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $695 2h
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on June 11? BUY No 100¢ $499 28h
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 11? SELL No 100¢ $380 29h
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 11? BUY No 100¢ $15 36h
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 11? BUY No 100¢ $25 36h
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 11? BUY No 100¢ $1 39h
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 11? BUY No 99¢ $1 39h
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 11? BUY No 99¢ $336 39h
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on June 10? BUY No 100¢ $163 47h
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on June 10? BUY No 100¢ $100 47h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on June 9? BUY No 100¢ $30 3d
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on June 9? BUY No 100¢ $500 3d
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on June 9? BUY No 100¢ $450 3d
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 8? BUY No 100¢ $978 4d
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 7? BUY No 100¢ $977 4d
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 6? BUY Yes 100¢ $975 5d
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 5? BUY No 100¢ $265 6d
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 5? BUY Yes 100¢ $710 6d
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 4? BUY No 100¢ $974 8d
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 3? BUY No 100¢ $954 9d
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? BUY Yes 100¢ $720 11d
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? BUY No 100¢ $200 16d
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on May 26? BUY No 97¢ $18 17d
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C or higher on May 26? BUY No 100¢ $5 17d
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C or higher on May 26? BUY No 100¢ $1 17d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-9.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 11 +0.2% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
≤30d 23 +4.2% -5.7% 100% 4% -9.0%
≤90d 42 -0.3% -9.8% 88% 5% -10.9%
all 42 -0.3% -9.8% 88% 5% -10.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.8 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.8% 5% -10.9%
10% -18.5% 5% -19.4%
15% -26.3% 2% -27.2%
20% -33.6% 2% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $932.19 · official $932.19 (match) · 121 history records