Wallet analysis

2026-06-27T11:53:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1.5
score
B0 0xb0f7…aebb sports 421 markets active 1h ago coverage 89d
TRAPdo not copy sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$1,027 (-2%) realized −$1,036 · open +$9
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -18% what you keep after slip
Net edge-18%after slip
Net WR44%break-even
Win rate50%209W / 210L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$100per market
Trades / day8.2pace
Fees−$650est.
Kalshi-fit98%portable
Net worth$159now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$39
7 days+$76
14 days+$307
30 days−$1,815
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 99% −$1,404
other 1% −$174
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-11.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 26 +5.8% -4.3% 58% 46% -2.3%
≤30d 142 -18.1% -25.9% 42% 37% -26.9%
≤90d 419 -2.4% -11.7% 50% 44% -12.7%
all 419 -2.4% -11.7% 50% 44% -12.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover8.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.7% 44% -12.7%
10% -20.1% 39% -21.1%
15% -27.9% 34% -28.7%
20% -34.9% 27% -35.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
11% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +3% → late -7% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$59 vs −$66 · ×0.89 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.89 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

89d coverage
Net worth$159
Realized−$1,036
Unrealized+$9
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses209 / 210
Est. fees paid−$650
Open positions2
Markets (closed)419 / 421
History coverage89d
Avg bet$100
Trades / day8.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 2 History 419 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs FlyQuest (BO1) - Cross Regional Group Stage FlyQuest 100¢ 100¢ $100 $100 +$0 (+0%)
LoL Cross Regional 2026: DNS vs LOS DNS 85¢ 100¢ $50 $59 +$9 (+18%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 38 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL Cross Regional: DK vs LOS Jun 27 $74 +$5 +7%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? Jun 27 $20 −$20 -98%
Dota 2: 4 Anchors and Ilmeria vs the bug - Game 2 Winner Jun 26 $25 −$25 -98%
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals Jun 26 $20 +$10 +52%
Dota 2: 4 Anchors and Ilmeria vs the bug - Game 1 Winner Jun 26 $25 −$25 -99%
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner Jun 26 $20 +$11 +55%
LoL Cross Regional 2026: DK vs FLY Jun 26 $100 +$1 +1%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Cloud9 (BO1) - Cross Regional Group Stage Jun 26 $100 +$13 +13%
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs LOS (BO1) - Cross Regional Group Stage Jun 26 $116 −$10 -9%
Morocco vs. Haiti: Morocco O/U 6.5 Corners Jun 25 $20 +$20 +98%
Spread: Morocco (-1.5) Jun 24 $10 $0 -4%
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 24 $20 +$1 +4%
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 24 $20 +$3 +13%
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Jun 24 $10 +$3 +32%
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner Jun 24 $20 −$10 -51%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Acend (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group A Jun 23 $10 +$12 +114%
England leading at halftime? Jun 23 $41 −$40 -99%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Acend - Map 2 Winner Jun 23 $10 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs OG (BO3) - DraculaN Group B Jun 23 $51 −$50 -98%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winner Jun 21 $51 +$54 +106%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 4 Winner Jun 21 $25 +$40 +158%
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 4 Winner Jun 21 $50 +$20 +40%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playo Jun 20 $51 +$74 +146%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner Jun 20 $25 −$25 -98%
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 20 $20 +$34 +175%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playo Jun 20 $10 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Pla Jun 20 $25 +$24 +93%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) Jun 19 $51 +$45 +90%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs Jun 19 $139 −$16 -11%
LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 4 Winner Jun 19 $101 +$49 +48%
LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winner Jun 19 $26 −$20 -78%
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Jun 18 $51 +$45 +90%
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 18 $18 −$5 -29%
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 3 Winne Jun 18 $152 +$45 +30%
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy - Game 3 Winner Jun 17 $100 +$13 +13%
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy - Game 4 Winner Jun 17 $101 −$100 -99%
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner Jun 17 $101 +$73 +72%
Will France win on 2026-06-16? Jun 16 $51 −$1 -2%
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play Jun 16 $25 −$1 -4%
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 16 $25 −$4 -15%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playof Jun 15 $51 −$50 -98%
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Map 1 Winner Jun 15 $51 +$49 +97%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner Jun 15 $46 −$45 -98%
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Saigon Warriors - Game 2 Winner Jun 15 $25 −$25 -98%
Game Handicap: KT.C (-1.5) vs Saigon Warriors (+1.5) Jun 15 $50 −$1 -2%
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) Jun 15 $51 +$44 +86%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner Jun 14 $51 +$39 +76%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $120 +$54 +46%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $25 −$25 -99%
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL Cross Regional 2026: DNS vs LOS BUY DNS 85¢ $50 43m
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs FlyQuest (BO1) - Cross Regional Group Stage BUY FlyQuest 100¢ $100 1h
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs FlyQuest (BO1) - Cross Regional Group Stage SELL FlyQuest 96¢ $2 1h
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs FlyQuest (BO1) - Cross Regional Group Stage SELL FlyQuest 84¢ $49 1h
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs FlyQuest (BO1) - Cross Regional Group Stage BUY FlyQuest 82¢ $50 1h
LoL Cross Regional: DK vs LOS SELL DK 100¢ $80 1h
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs FlyQuest (BO1) - Cross Regional Group Stage SELL Kiwoom DRX 43¢ $33 1h
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs FlyQuest (BO1) - Cross Regional Group Stage BUY Kiwoom DRX 64¢ $51 1h
LoL Cross Regional: DK vs LOS BUY DK 93¢ $74 2h
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? BUY No 45¢ $20 11h
Dota 2: 4 Anchors and Ilmeria vs the bug - Game 2 Winner BUY the bug 47¢ $25 14h
Dota 2: 4 Anchors and Ilmeria vs the bug - Game 1 Winner BUY the bug 60¢ $25 15h
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals BUY No 65¢ $20 15h
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 64¢ $20 23h
LoL Cross Regional 2026: DK vs FLY BUY DK 99¢ $100 24h
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Cloud9 (BO1) - Cross Regional Group Stage SELL DN SOOPers 100¢ $114 24h
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Cloud9 (BO1) - Cross Regional Group Stage BUY DN SOOPers 88¢ $100 25h
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs LOS (BO1) - Cross Regional Group Stage SELL LOS 75¢ $90 26h
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs LOS (BO1) - Cross Regional Group Stage BUY LOS 83¢ $101 26h
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs LOS (BO1) - Cross Regional Group Stage SELL LOS 61¢ $16 26h
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs LOS (BO1) - Cross Regional Group Stage BUY LOS 57¢ $16 26h
Morocco vs. Haiti: Morocco O/U 6.5 Corners BUY Over 50¢ $20 2d
Spread: Morocco (-1.5) SELL Morocco 32¢ $10 2d
Spread: Morocco (-1.5) BUY Morocco 32¢ $10 2d
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Under 96¢ $20 3d
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Over 88¢ $20 3d
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 7.5 Total Corners SELL Over 52¢ $13 3d
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 7.5 Total Corners BUY Over 38¢ $10 3d
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Acend (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group A BUY Acend 46¢ $10 3d
England leading at halftime? BUY Yes 54¢ $20 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $158.84 · official $158.84 (match) · 990 history records