Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:06:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B1
0xb10c…5fb0
sports · 182 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$130 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$130 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$130
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses125 / 56
Est. fees paid−$11
Open positions1
Markets (closed)181 / 182
History coverage201d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day1.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit70%
Chart Positions 1 History 181 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$10
7 days−$10
14 days−$11
30 days−$42
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-6%)
FC Barcelona vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5 Under 67¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paul Tommy Paul 37¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24? Yes 51¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Hamburg European Open: Ugo Humbert vs Karen Khachanov Karen Khachanov 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Madrid Open: Dino Prizmic vs Tomas Etcheverry Dino Prizmic 49¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Frances Tiafoe Hubert Hurkacz 52¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Hamburg European Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Ben Shelton Ben Shelton 68¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix? Yes 62¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Madrid Open: Ben Shelton vs Dino Prizmic Ben Shelton 65¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Will Paderborn win on 2026-05-25? Yes 57¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13? Yes 45¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04? Yes 67¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Geneva Open: Learner Tien vs Alexander Bublik Alexander Bublik 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-11? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karen Khachanov vs Dino Prizmic Dino Prizmic 63¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-24? No 88¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-24? No 62¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paul May 29 $4 −$4 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic May 29 $2 +$2 +111%
Roland Garros ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Rafael Jodar May 29 $2 $0 +24%
Roland Garros ATP: Arthur Rinderknech vs Matteo Berrettini May 28 $62 −$61 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Frances Tiafoe May 28 $20 −$20 -99%
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27? May 28 $10 −$10 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Ugo Humbert vs Quentin Halys May 27 $5 −$4 -73%
Roland Garros ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Andrey Rublev May 27 $10 +$6 +57%
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel Altmaier May 26 $30 +$11 +36%
Roland Garros ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Jan-Lennard Struff May 26 $10 −$6 -63%
Roland Garros ATP: Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldi May 26 $8 +$6 +76%
Roland Garros ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Gael Monfils May 25 $3 −$2 -66%
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Roman Safiullin May 25 $1 $0 +42%
Roland Garros ATP: Ignacio Buse vs Andrey Rublev May 25 $30 +$7 +24%
Will Paderborn win on 2026-05-25? May 25 $2 −$2 -99%
Roland Garros ATP: Marton Fucsovics vs Matteo Berrettini May 25 $10 +$2 +20%
Roland Garros ATP: Hugo Dellien vs Valentin Royer May 24 $5 +$5 +90%
Roland Garros ATP: Hamad Medjedovic vs Yannick Hanfmann May 24 $10 +$6 +57%
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Luka Pavlovic May 24 $2 +$1 +29%
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix? May 24 $2 −$2 -99%
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $1 $0 +27%
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $2 −$2 -99%
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $2 −$1 -64%
Roland Garros ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Damir Dzumhur May 24 $2 +$1 +34%
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Fabian Marozsan May 24 $1 $0 +27%
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-23? May 24 $10 +$4 +42%
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-23? May 23 $1 $0 +27%
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-23? May 23 $1 $0 +20%
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-24? May 23 $1 $0 +24%
Will George Russell win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix? May 23 $1 $0 +46%
Geneva Open: Mariano Navone vs Learner Tien May 23 $2 $0 +21%
Hamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Tommy Paul May 23 $10 $0 +4%
Will George Russell achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the May 22 $1 +$1 +80%
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-22? May 22 $10 +$5 +52%
Hamburg European Open: Alex de Minaur vs Tommy Paul May 22 $4 −$3 -89%
Geneva Open: Learner Tien vs Alexander Bublik May 22 $3 −$1 -33%
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Leandro Rie May 22 $10 +$8 +79%
FC Utrecht vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 5.5 May 21 $2 $0 +2%
Geneva Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Alexander Bublik May 21 $2 $0 +15%
Geneva Open: Alex Michelsen vs Learner Tien May 21 $1 +$1 +97%
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Facundo Acosta May 21 $2 +$1 +38%
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Marie Bouzkova vs Ann Li May 21 $1 $0 +10%
Geneva Open: Edas Butvilas vs Alexander Bublik May 20 $3 +$1 +38%
Hamburg European Open: Luciano Darderi vs Yannick Hanfmann May 20 $5 +$1 +27%
Hamburg European Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alex de Minaur May 20 $5 +$2 +48%
Geneva Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Laslo Djere May 20 $4 +$3 +75%
Hamburg European Open: Ugo Humbert vs Karen Khachanov May 20 $2 −$2 -99%
Hamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Jakub Mensik May 20 $1 $0 +19%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 61% −$138
other 28% +$28
crypto 11% −$20
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 2h
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva SELL Maxim Mrva 1¢ $0 2h
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva BUY Maxim Mrva 50¢ $10 3h
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paul BUY Tommy Paul 37¢ $4 13d
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic SELL Joao Fonseca 99¢ $4 13d
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic BUY Joao Fonseca 46¢ $2 13d
Roland Garros ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Rafael Jodar SELL Rafael Jodar 100¢ $2 13d
Roland Garros ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Rafael Jodar BUY Rafael Jodar 80¢ $2 14d
Roland Garros ATP: Arthur Rinderknech vs Matteo Berrettini SELL Arthur Rinderknech 1¢ $2 14d
Roland Garros ATP: Arthur Rinderknech vs Matteo Berrettini BUY Arthur Rinderknech 53¢ $62 14d
Roland Garros ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Hubert Hurkacz 52¢ $20 14d
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27? BUY No 55¢ $10 15d
Roland Garros ATP: Ugo Humbert vs Quentin Halys SELL Ugo Humbert 17¢ $1 15d
Roland Garros ATP: Ugo Humbert vs Quentin Halys BUY Ugo Humbert 61¢ $5 15d
Roland Garros ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Andrey Rublev BUY Andrey Rublev 63¢ $10 16d
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel Altmaier BUY Felix Auger-Aliassime 53¢ $10 16d
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel Altmaier SELL Daniel Altmaier 55¢ $23 16d
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel Altmaier BUY Daniel Altmaier 48¢ $20 16d
Roland Garros ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Jan-Lennard Struff SELL Alexander Bublik 28¢ $4 16d
Roland Garros ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Jan-Lennard Struff BUY Alexander Bublik 73¢ $10 16d
Roland Garros ATP: Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldi BUY Matteo Arnaldi 56¢ $8 17d
Roland Garros ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Gael Monfils SELL Hugo Gaston 31¢ $1 17d
Roland Garros ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Gael Monfils BUY Hugo Gaston 88¢ $3 17d
Will Paderborn win on 2026-05-25? BUY Yes 57¢ $2 17d
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Roman Safiullin BUY Casper Ruud 70¢ $1 17d
Roland Garros ATP: Ignacio Buse vs Andrey Rublev BUY Andrey Rublev 80¢ $30 17d
Roland Garros ATP: Marton Fucsovics vs Matteo Berrettini SELL Matteo Berrettini 78¢ $12 18d
Roland Garros ATP: Marton Fucsovics vs Matteo Berrettini BUY Matteo Berrettini 64¢ $10 18d
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix? BUY Yes 62¢ $2 18d
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-24? BUY No 62¢ $2 18d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-13.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 -98.1% -98.3% 0% 0% -98.3%
≤30d 67 +1.2% -8.5% 70% 63% -17.1%
≤90d 162 -2.1% -11.4% 72% 52% -14.7%
all 181 -4.6% -13.7% 69% 52% -15.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.7 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.7% 52% -15.2%
10% -21.9% 38% -23.3%
15% -29.5% 23% -30.7%
20% -36.4% 14% -37.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.17 · official $1.17 (match) · 385 history records