Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:51:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B1
0xb10e…6824
crypto · 87 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$169 -30%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$150 · open −$19
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$10
Realized−$150
Unrealized−$19
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses33 / 50
Open positions4
Markets (closed)83 / 87
Avg bet$7
Trades / day92.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit85%
Chart Positions 4 History 83 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$150
7 days−$150
14 days−$150
30 days−$150
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
President Trump to Attend USA Opening Match? Yes 7¢ 2¢ $18 $7 −$12 (-63%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Up 48¢ 48¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? Yes 59¢ 19¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-68%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$5 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$2 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$8 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $9 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$3 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$3 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$11 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$5 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $9 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +81%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$4 -68%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -58%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$4 +123%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$2 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$3 -46%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $23 +$6 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$3 -39%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Lennar (LEN) beat quarterly earnings? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$1 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +16%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$4 +34%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$2 +15%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$4 +84%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$3 +31%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 80% −$112
other 16% −$44
politics 4% −$13
finance 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $3 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $7 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET SELL Down 25¢ $4 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $3 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $4 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $6 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET SELL Up 87¢ $10 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $6 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET SELL Down 73¢ $9 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $5 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $13 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $8 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $3 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $4 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $4 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET SELL Up 45¢ $6 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $8 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET SELL Up 52¢ $7 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $3 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET SELL Down 77¢ $6 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $3 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET SELL Up 64¢ $8 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $7 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET SELL Up 59¢ $9 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET SELL Up 47¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET SELL Up 65¢ $11 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-37.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 83 -30.3% -37.0% 40% 36% -35.0%
≤30d 83 -30.3% -37.0% 40% 36% -35.0%
≤90d 83 -30.3% -37.0% 40% 36% -35.0%
all 83 -30.3% -37.0% 40% 36% -35.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover92.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -37.0% 36% -35.0%
10% ← realistic here -43.0% 29% -41.2%
15% -48.5% 23% -46.9%
20% -53.6% 20% -52.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10.48 · official $14.07 · 235 history records