Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:59:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B1
0xb10e…a4b2
crypto · 80 markets active 1h ago
4.5score
+$357 +28%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$288 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$288
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses37 / 43
Open positions0
Markets (closed)80 / 80
History coverage33d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day3.4
Drawdown32%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 80 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$15
7 days−$25
14 days+$83
30 days+$231
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 07 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 07 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 07 $104 +$100 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 07 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 06 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 06 $103 +$87 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 06 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 06 $52 −$50 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 06 $76 +$151 +198%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 06 $52 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 06 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 06 $31 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET May 30 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET May 30 $4 +$3 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET May 30 $21 +$84 +398%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET May 28 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET May 28 $26 +$27 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET May 28 $52 +$50 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET May 28 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET May 28 $10 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET May 24 $26 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET May 24 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET May 24 $5 +$15 +280%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET May 24 $18 +$23 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET May 24 $26 −$25 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET May 24 $26 +$17 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET May 24 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET May 24 $10 +$16 +156%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET May 24 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET May 23 $27 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET May 21 $5 +$3 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET May 21 $5 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET May 18 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET May 18 $5 +$6 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET May 18 $8 +$17 +198%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET May 18 $26 +$6 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET May 18 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET May 18 $5 +$5 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET May 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET May 17 $10 +$10 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET May 17 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET May 17 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET May 17 $8 −$8 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET May 17 $5 +$6 +121%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET May 17 $5 +$12 +225%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET May 16 $7 −$7 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET May 16 $26 +$22 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET May 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$288
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $204 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $104 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $52 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $190 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $103 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $49 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $52 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $76 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $52 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $26 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $5 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET SELL Up 59¢ $30 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $26 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $5 15d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $7 15d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $4 15d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $21 15d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $26 16d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $53 16d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $26 16d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $102 16d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $52 16d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $10 16d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $10 16d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET SELL Down 71¢ $25 20d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)+1.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 61 -1.2% -10.6% 44% 43% +9.3%
≤90d 80 +11.8% +1.2% 46% 45% +12.2%
all 80 +11.8% +1.2% 46% 45% +12.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +1.2% 45% +12.2%
10% -8.5% 44% +1.5%
15% -17.4% 42% -8.3%
20% -25.5% 39% -17.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 133 history records